Posts Tagged Mike D’Antoni

Week 17 Recap (Snatch Blatche) and Week 18 Pickups

Week 17 was all about the trades.  It saw the emergence of a perennial sleeper candidate (or two), the triumphant (at least for now) return of a former first rounder, and the early deaths of some promising fantasy seasons… all the result of big-time trades.  The Recap:

Not to rain on T-Mac's parade, but another former Magic/Rocket, Steve Francis, also had a solid Knick debut with 16, 5, and 4. Just saying... (Getty)

Cavs lose!  Cavs lose!  Cavs lose!

That’s right, the new-look Cavs are 0-3 after acquiring Antawn Jamison.  Is it the curse of Big Z?  Or is it a hex of fantasy owners of Jamison, Ilgauskas, J.J. Hickson, and Anderson Varejao?  Of course, the trade had obvious fantasy ramifications (basically, it sucked for all the guys mentioned above), but why is the losing streak so important?  Because it means the Cavs and Lakers are in a near-dead heat for the top record in the NBA… which is great news if you own guys like LeBron or Kobe, who probably can’t afford to rest late into the season as the race for home court advantage comes down to the wire.

(Meanwhile, Jamison put up a dud in his first game but bounced back on Sunday.  All those other bigs in CLE?  I’m not sure they’ll ever bounce back.)

T-Mac + D’Antoni = WTF

If you look at my rankings of the biggest trade deadline winners (and losers), I had Tracy McGrady ranked near the top of the second tier (although of course qualified that by saying he had the biggest upside of anyone on the list).  Well, he made his case for being ranked near the top of the first tier in his first game as a Knick, going off for 26, 4, and 5 with great percentages.  Hell, he even shocked himself, as he didn’t expect to play more than 20 min and was admittedly exhausted by the end of the OT game.

I’ve always said the main reason I would own McGrady would be to sell high on him after a hot streak.  Well, this might be the right time if you can get a good bounty in return.  However, Mike D’Antoni has said the Knicks are going to run the rest of the way (See: Wilson Chandler starting at PF instead of SG, where he has started all year).  And with T-Mac playing nice and saying he’s willing to come back to NY at a discount next year, D’Antoni just might keep running him out there for 30+ mpg to build chemistry.  Because of his injury risk, I’d be inclined to sell high, but don’t sell yourself short.

Fantasy ROY Race

First it was Tyreke Evans vs. Brandon Jennings.  Then it was Evans vs. Stephen Curry.  Now is it Curry vs. Darren Collison?  Okay, that’s an overstatement.  But over the last three weeks, it’s been pretty close:


FG% FT% 3PM PTS REB AST STL BLK TO
Stephen Curry .434 .933 2.2 18.4 4.6 7.6 1.8 0.0 4.1
Darren Collison .473 .829 1.1 19.7 4.7 9.8 1.7 0.2 4.9

Of course, when Chris Paul returns, this race ends, but it just goes to show how valuable both have been over the last three weeks, and how valuable Curry will be the rest of the year.

WEEK 18 PICKUPS

I’m going to steal from myself and just reiterate some of the biggest trade deadline winners, with some slight adjustments given 3 days-worth of new info.

First of all, trade deadline winners like Andray Blatche (62%) , Tyrus Thomas (63%), T-Mac (74%), and Josh Howard (76%) have already cleared the 50% ownership mark in Yahoo leagues and will thus be excluded.  (I like them in that order by the way.)  The rest:

Casspi & Butler. Ambiguously gay photo, unambiguously solid fantasy pickups. (Getty)

Omri Casspi (33%)

Casspi posted 15, 5, and 3 with 3 steals in his first game with the new-look Kings.  Nothing flashy, but he should get relatively consistent minutes in SAC the rest of the way, as he and Evans are the clear building blocks of that team’s future.

JaVale McGee (17%)

It’s tough to find 11 ppg, 7.3 rpg, and 2.7 bpg off the FA list, but that’s exactly what McGee has delivered in 3 post-trade starts… and all while playing with a sprained wrist.

Rasual Butler (31%)

He can be streaky, but right now he’s streaking the right direction with 17 treys in his last 5 games.  It might take some time, but with Al Thornton out of the way and Travis Outlaw’s indefinite return, Butler could slowly make his was off this list by clearing the 50% hurdle.

C.J. Watson (18%)

Watson has reemerged with Monta Ellis starting to burn out.  Don Nelson recently stated he would not be running guys out for 40+ mpg sometime soon, which means Watson should/might start getting consistent playing time again.  So while I wouldn’t expect the 27, 4, and 4 with great percentages and ~2 treys/stl per game that Watson posted last week, I’d still expect useful fantasy stats.

DeAndre Jordan (5%)

Jordan had a mixed bag of results in the Clips’ first 3 games without Marcus Camby, averaging 8 and 8 with 2.3 bpg.  Those numbers might not be worth taking on his atrocious FT%, but if you’ve already punted that category, he’s a nice pickup.  If not, approach with caution.  (Also keep in mind that Drew Gooden has decided not to take a buy-out and will stay with the Clips.  Obviously Gooden cares about winning and not living in sunny southern California…)

Sergio Rodriguez (9%) and Eddie House (13%)

Rodriguez was the hot pickup after whispers that he might start in New York.  And even though he had a lackluster debut, he’d still be a big catch running the Knicks’ new old up-tempo offense.  Meanwhile, House — who has played and excelled for D’Antoni before — stepped right in and had a huge first game as the Knicks’ super-6th man.  Looks like they both have a chance to make a splash in NY, but just remember that Rodriguez has a real chance to average 8+ apg if/when he steps into that starter’s role before you give up on him.

Keep an eye on… everyone from my trade deadline post, with some tweaks:

Taj Gibson (24% — I’m slightly downgrading him from my previous list because Joakim Noah has already returned; check Noah’s status and think about selling high on Gibson if Noah’s foot starts feeling better), Nate Robinson (52% — been dropped so much he might actually be available; keep an eye on his new role in BOS), Al Thornton and Hakim Warrick (45% and 14% — slight upgrades after debuts on new squads), Jonas Jerebko (9%), Shannon Brown (6% — check Kobe’s status), Mario Chalmers (33% — check Rafer Alston’s status), and last but not least, Anthony Tolliver (6%)

Which trade deadline winner would you prefer on your squad?

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Trade Fallout: Tracy McGrady (to be) traded for the Knicks Bench… or the Bulls Bench

And I thought I procrastinated.

The Rockets are nearing a deal with the Knicks that would send Tracy McGrady to New York for Jared Jeffries, Jordan Hill, Larry Hughes and an assortment of draft picks/swaps/etc.  OR… a deal that would send T-Mac to the Bulls for Tyrus Thomas, Brad Miller, and John Salmons or Kirk Hinrich.

If you own any Rockets, you’re hoping for the first deal, as those incoming Knicks players won’t “interfere” as much with current team chemistry.  Since Houston has just been looking for a marquee player or future prospects (and because I’m feeling a little bit lazy), I’m guessing they go with the Knicks deal as well.  The fallout (Daryl Morey, please don’t make me re-write this post):

Biggest winner: It’s hard to argue against T-Mac here, as going from zero minutes to any minutes will likely help his fantasy value.  Although Mike D’Antoni has said as recently as last weekend that he planned to play “the kids” the rest of the way, he has also (contradictorily) said he’ll play T-Mac.  And here’s my theory on why:

Mike D’Antoni to LeBron and/or D-Wade: “Hey, if raggedy T-Mac can average 15-5-5 with this supporting cast, just imagine what you can do!”

So, yeah, expect T-Mac to get some run.  Don’t expect his percentages to be anywhere near respectable, but if they let him play, he’s going to put up stats.

Keep an eye on: The Knicks roster.  Jeffries was the only player of the three dealt getting significant playing time, which one would assume T-Mac will take a chunk of.  That means everyone else should get a couple more minutes, especially guys like Wilson Chandler and Danilo Gallinari.  But Jeffries also didn’t shoot as much as T-Mac probably will, so it remains to be seen how their scoring will be affected.  If the Knicks successfully shop Al Harrington, those two guys in particular will probably gain the most.

Biggest loser: Jeffries was already only useful in deeper leagues, but I find it hard for him to maintain his numbers, which took him 30+ (and sometimes 40) mpg to get.

But the real (collective) biggest loser is all of the Houston Rockets, as the three newbies each have potential to carve out a place in the rotation.  I think Aaron Brooks is the only guy whose numbers won’t be affected.  But guys like Carl Landry and Luis Scola could easily lose some touches/rebounds to Jeffries and Hill.  They’re still worth owning, but the chance of an occasional dud just got a little bit higher for those guys.

The one exception might be Trevor Ariza, who has already been supplanted by Brooks as the #1 scoring option earlier in the year and later by Landry as the #2 scoring option.  If Ariza gets knocked down to, say, the #4 option, I think most owners would actually welcome the increased efficiency.

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Schmuck Bait: Buy Low Sell High, Week 1

Jason Kidd is a nice buy-low target.  His wife has nothing to do w/ this article but she's, uh, wearing a bikini.  (SI)

Jason Kidd is a nice buy-low target. His wife has nothing to do w/ this article but she, uh, looks not so bad. (SI)

A week into the season is plenty of time for people to start panicking about their teams.  It’s also a perfect time to make some sneaky trades.  And so, the first installment of Buy Low Sell High.  (I know, I know.  I’ll try to come up with a better name once my brain isn’t fried.)

As a bonus, I’ll throw in some salesman-y schmuck bait you can use with each player.

BUY LOW

Al Jefferson

He missed a good chunk of the pre-season due to a sore Achilles, and his minutes were limited the first couple games.  So, in a way, he’s still getting into basketball shape.  I know, because he’s sinking one of my teams right now.  But if the guy who owns Big Al in your league isn’t as patient, feel free to lob him an offer.

The schmuck bait: He’s one wobbly knee from imploding your entire season.  (This is actually true, but I like him to stay relatively healthy.)

Jason Kidd

Kidd hasn’t been a scorer in years, but he’s only made four shots in three games so far!  I’m not even expecting double-digit scoring from him, but if he can hit 1.X threes per game, his numbers will be pretty close to last year, when he was a top 10 player by totals.  And according to some of my readers, his owners are already getting antsy with his lack of 3′s/scoring, even though all the other numbers are there.

The schmuck bait: He’s old (i.e., fantasy finished).

Jose Calderon

A lot of people, including me, expected big things from Calderon this year after he took the summer off to improve his conditioning.  Looks like he should’ve spent more time getting acquainted with Hedo Turkoglu.  Here’s a telling stat: Calderon has already missed 4 FTs this year — more than all of last year.  To me, that would hint that this initial slow start is more mental than anything else.  It might take him a while to get used to Hedo, in which case you have time to decide whether he’s worth the “gamble”, but I’d act sooner than later.

The schmuck bait: He’s a Spaniard.  Just kidding.  He’s still unproven over an entire year as a go-to PG.

11/o6/09 UPDATE: Please see my Tough Questions post about Calderon to see exactly what I mean by “gamble”.

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Fantasy Basketball Draft Rankings: 101-125

I’ve finished updating my draft rankings from 101-150.  I’ll post it in two different entries, to make it a little more readable.  Be sure to check out the complete list from 1-150 on the Draft Rankings tab, complete with one-liners.

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