Posts Tagged Marreese Speights

Trade Winds: Eastern Conference

Get ready for one of the most important weeks of the fantasy basketball season.  The days leading up to the trade deadline (February 18) can make or break fantasy squads.  Since there are no more games this week, you should be filling your ‘dead’ roster spots with guys who would benefit from possible trades, if you haven’t already.  (See: Francisco Garcia, 2009 or Drew Gooden, 2008.)

If you've got a dead roster spot, it might be worth it to stash someone like Blatche for the next 6 days.  (Getty)

If you've got a dead roster spot, it might be worth it to stash someone like Blatche for the next 6 days. (Getty)

For example, one of the most popular pieces of trade bait is Troy Murphy.  Nobody knows where he will go (or if he will go), but the biggest winner from a Murphy trade would be Roy Hibbert.  Since Hibbert’s probably already taken, you’d want to keep an eye on Tyler Hansbrough.  He’s currently injured but would be a safe bet to get 25-30 mpg once he returns.  And lastly, the biggest loser of this deal would probably be Murphy himself (especially if he winds up in CLE, but maybe not if he winds up in SAC).

Got it?  Since there are so many rumored scenarios, I’m just going to run through the most popular trade targets and the ripple effect that would happen if they were moved.  Of course, this is imperfect because I’m (mainly) looking at one side of the deal, so just consider this a general set of guidelines before the actual deals start getting announced next week.

ANTAWN JAMISON

Biggest winner: Andray Blatche

Biggest loser: Probably Jamison (the most likely destination for him is CLE, which is already stacked with bigs)

CARON BUTLER

Biggest winner: Mike Miller (in store for a bigger role)

Keep an eye on: Nick Young (Miller might shift to the SF spot, freeing up the starting SG spot)

Biggest loser: I would’ve said Butler, but this might actually jumpstart him.

ELTON BRAND

Biggest winner: Marreese Speights

Keep an eye on: Thaddeus Young

Biggest loser: The PF on whatever team Brand is headed to.

ANDRE IGUODALA

Biggest winner: Lou Williams (if Willie Green plays more minutes at the SF spot, it could finally relieve that backcourt traffic jam)

Keep an eye on: Willie Green and Thaddeus Young

Biggest loser: The SF on whatever team Iggy is headed to.

KIRK HINRICH

Biggest winner: John Salmons

Keep an eye on: Hinrich (he’s already useful now, and his value could rise even more if he’s moved into a starting PG role)

Biggest loser: The PG on whatever team Hinrich is headed to.

CHRIS BOSH

Biggest winner: Andrea Bargnani

Keep an eye on: Amir Johnson

Biggest loser: You got it: the big men on whatever team Bosh is headed to.  (Okay, I’ll stop mentioning the biggest loser if there’s no clear one yet.)

NATE ROBINSON

Biggest winner: Chris Duhon (he needs anything to happen to jumpstart himself) and Larry Hughes

Keep an eye on: Nate, as he might move to a situation with more playing time, but not necessarily more responsibility.

DEVIN HARRIS

Biggest winner: Keyon Dooling

Biggest loser: Probably Harris, as he’s currently The Man in New Jersey.  At least when he’s healthy.

TYRUS THOMAS

Biggest winner: Probably Thomas himself, as he can only crack about 20 mpg right now, and Taj Gibson

Keep an eye on: Brad Miller

Okay, hope that’s enough to get the juices flowing for now.  Watch out for my Western Conference edition sometime this weekend, and feel free to point out any pieces of trade bait I missed.

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Injury Timeout: Joel Przybilla

If you are taller than 7 feet and live in Portland, chances are your knees look like silly putty.  (AP)

If you are taller than 7 feet and live in Portland, chances are your knees look like silly putty. (AP)

I was talking with a friend the other day about how there are so many more quality C’s (or C-eligible players) in fantasy now as opposed to five years ago.  Well, last night was a reminder why you still need to be deep at the center position on your fantasy teams.  Joel Przybilla suffered a ruptured patella Wednesday night versus the Mavs.  It wasn’t as ugly as, say, Shaun Livingston’s ruptured ‘everything’, but it was still painful to watch.

I still find it hard to believe Przy only made it up to 39% ownership in Yahoo leagues (he was averaging exactly what everyone who owned him was hoping for as a starter: 10 rpg and 2 bpg), so if you own him, chances are you originally had Greg Oden or you play in a deeper league.  Since Przy is likely done for the season, here are some guys available in less than 50% of Yahoo leagues:

Roy Hibbert (45%)

See last post.  He also added 6 blk versus Boston Tuesday night despite a subpar offensive game.

Tyrus Thomas (44%)

Even though he’s not a C, he’s a nice option to replace some of those boards and blocks while adding more steals as well.  Grab him if he’s still available, although in deeper leagues he’s probably been stowed away for at least a few days now.

Erick Dampier (45%)

Quietly averaging 10.4 rpg and 2.1 bpg in 10 December games.

Anderson Varejao (47%)

Probably won’t get as many blocks as Przy, but he’s a sneaky source of steals (1.0 spg).

Tyson Chandler (46%)

After being called out by Gerald Wallace recently, Chandler responded with a 13 and 14 double-double versus the undersized Knicks.  He’s maddeningly inconsistent, but he’s a decent filler for REB with potential for more.

Marreese Speights (35%)

He doesn’t block the ball nearly as much as you’d hope for a big, but he’s getting quality minutes in Philly.  Although Elton Brand was hot Tuesday night, Speights was very solid in the 3 previous games.

Serge Ibaka (2%)

Who?  The third-string C for the Thunder of course!  Well, he’s averaging 8+ rpg and 1.5 bpg over his last 4, including a nice 8 and 14 outing against the Lakers Tuesday night.

Josh Boone (4%)

Boone doesn’t do much besides rebound and block, but that’s probably what you’re looking for right now.  If you’re scared (and rightfully so) by that putrid 26% FT percentage, take comfort knowing that he only averages 1 attempt per game.  In 11 December games he’s averaging 6.9 rpg and 1.4 bpg.  Not a huge dropoff from Przy’s stats.

Hasheem Thabeet (9%)

He’s disappeared in recent games with Zach Randolph blowing up and Marc Gasol playing well again, but Thabeet had a 3-game run earlier this month where he tallied 11 blk.  Keep an eye on him.

Juwan Howard (3%)

Since Portland’s only other listed C, Anthony Tolliver, only has 1 career block, I’d lean towards the veteran Howard if you’re really strapped.  Even though half his old Fab Five teammates (for those of you young’ns, that’s not a T-Mobile plug…) are now doing commentary for TV, Howard posted respectable stats the last time he had to log big minutes — in Houston during the 2006-07 season when Yao Ming missed 3 months.  Don’t expect much more than double-digit points and 5-6 boards though.  And if Portland signs another big man (which is likely), you probably can’t even expect that much.

And by the way: Yes, LaMarcus Aldridge owners, LA might finally start averaging double-digit boards…

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Week 8 Recap (T-Mac plays “7 Minutes in Heaven”) and Week 9 Pickups

7 minutes in heaven?  Seventh graders are getting more play than T-Mac is right now...  (Getty Images)

7 minutes in heaven? Seventh graders are getting more play than T-Mac is right now... (Getty Images)

In Week 8, some of the most important fantasy happenings occurred off the court, with several fantasy stars on the verge of returning to the court.  It also featured Superman returning to form, T-Mac getting “out-played” by seventh graders, and a possible new contender in the fantasy ROY race.

Lou Williams, Jameer Nelson, and Tyrus Thomas (and Marreese Speights)

Hopefully you heard some of my barking (as well as some of the guys on my message boards) and were quick enough to pick up Williams, Nelson, or Thomas over the past week.  Williams actually already returned to action with a subpar outing versus the Clippers, but with Allen Iverson out at least a week due to arthritis, Sweet Lou will have plenty of time to get back into form… and before we know it, Iverson will be the one adjusting to him instead of the other way around.

Meanwhile, Nelson is expected to return early in Week 9, while Thomas will likely return at the end of the week.  And another guy who returned to the lineup after an extended absence and has already turned in 3 solid (including one great) game is Marreese Speights.  With both Elton Brand and Samuel Dalembert healthy and playing decently, I’m not expecting too much consistency from Speights.  But if you need help at C, he’s definitely worth a look, and he’s only taken in 30% of Yahoo leagues right now.

By the way, if you missed out on any of the above guys, the next (mini) wave of injured guys returning includes Leandro Barbosa (expected to return around mid-to-late week) and in deeper leagues, Yi Jianlian (expected back mid-week).

Dwight Howard

Meanwhile, Superman returned to form, averaging 17 and 18 with 4.5 bpg in 4 games.  It’s no coincidence this Superman-esque stretch occurred after a Dec. 11 game at Phoenix in which the Suns went Hack-a-Howard and allowed D-12 to only get off 1 (yes ONE) field goal attempt.  I unsuccessfully tried to buy low on Howard all year in one H2H league where I already own Rajon Rondo and Andrew Bogut (FT% punt, anyone?), and that window has probably slammed shut for good now.  Oh well.

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Fantasy Fallout, Rumor Edition: Tyrus Thomas, Tracy McGrady, Andre Miller, and Elton Brand

Adrian Wojnarowski of Yahoo Sports just posted a must-read article on the latest trade rumors in the NBA.  Some highlights:

Is Thomass the next Stoudemire?  Marion?  Or just the next heckling target for New Yorkers?  (Getty Images)

Is Thomas the next Stoudemire? Marion? Or just the next heckling target for New Yorkers? (Getty Images)

Tyrus Thomas

“Several sources believe the Bulls are agreeable to a package of Thomas and Jerome James for Knicks forward Al Harrington.”

Mike D’Antoni has apparently coveted Thomas’ athleticism for years, although I’m not exactly sure how Thomas would be used on offense.  Is he more the Shawn Marion or Amare Stoudemire type?… because he seems somewhere in between and not necessarily in a good way, although I can’t really pinpoint why.  Maybe because he’s more generally regarded as a defensive player.  Anyway, he takes a nice speculative bump in value going to that open offense and is worth a roster spot if you can afford it.

Meanwhile, Al Harrington could be taking Ben Gordon’s old 6th man/instant offense role, but going to a more structured offense makes it hard to predict exactly how his value will be affected.  It probably goes down though, as Al likely can’t jack up 5 three-pt attempts per game anywhere outside of NY or GS.

And even though Al would be coming in, Taj Gibson gets a nice boost in confidence/value, while it becomes more likely that Joakim Noah can maintain his nice start.  (I was thinking of selling high on him as late as last week, but will hold off on that until news breaks.)

Tracy McGrady

“Houston seems willing to take back a longer-term contract for McGrady, but most executives believe his high salary makes it hard to put together a package.

“Rockets GM Daryl Morey and coach Rick Adelman don’t want McGrady back with the team, and have insisted that he isn’t physically ready to return to the lineup. McGrady would love a trade, but knows he must start playing again for it to be possible.”

This situation seems messier and messier to me, although this is the first “new” news I’ve heard in a while.  (And updating my last post here, apparently there are T-Mac trade rumors.  Of course!)  In my last post, I also said this all reminded me of Allen Iverson’s past couple weeks, but it actually might be more reminiscent of the Stephen Jackson situation in GSW.

Remember that night Jackson got benched the entire second half when things got really heated/awkward, then played almost the entire next game?  It’s called “showcasing”… and I’m guessing the Rockets are waiting for the right time (i.e., until T-Mac is absolutely healthy) to showcase his skills and ship him off.  To where?  Who knows.  But a lot of New Yorkers on this message board from The Knicks Blog think it will be, you got it, the Knicks.

Andre Miller

“Sources say that Brandon Roy clearly prefers playing with Blake over Miller, and that’s an issue that Pritchard must contend with.”

This all stems from the Blazers’ need to fill the gap left by Travis Outlaw’s injury.  It’s great news for anyone who recently picked Steve Blake off waivers.  I’ve been saying I’d rather own him than Miller all year, so gooo me!  (Unfortunately I don’t own him in any leagues though.  So, hypooocrite!)  It’s probably good news for any Miller owners too, as he’s clearly good enough to start on most NBA teams and this seems like more of a personal preference (on Brandon Roy’s part) rather than a big character issue that would hurt Miller’s value.

Elton Brand

“Sixers GM Ed Stefanski is desperate to unload forward Elton Brand and the $66 million owed over the remaining four years of his crippling contract, sources say, but that will be incredibly difficult.”

Not totally surprising, and hey, maybe that’s why he was getting big minutes before his hamstring got overheated.  (Showcasing, anyone?  No wait.  That Marreese Speights guy got injured.  Anyway.)  Doesn’t look like anything will happen, but it’s worth keeping an eye on.

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20-Second Timeout: Anthony Morrow, Elton Brand, and Lou Williams

Who has been the most valuable 76er in fantasy this year?  Here's a hint: NOT Elton Brand.  (Getty Images)

Who has been the most valuable 76er in fantasy this year? Here's a hint: NOT Elton Brand. (Getty Images)

Anthony Morrow

After last night’s performance, this will probably be your last chance to snatch Morrow off the FA list.  Against a solid defensive team in DAL (although granted they were without Josh Howard and Shawn Marion), Morrow poured in 27 pts, 9 reb and 5 ast on 9-16 shooting (6-8 from downtown) while chipping in 3 stl.  Sure it took him 48 minutes to do, but when your team only dresses 8 players and only plays 6 of them, you’re going to end up playing 48 minutes some nights.  (Or in Morrow’s case, 48 minutes 2 games in a row.)  He’s somehow still available in 47% of Yahoo leagues.

By the way, every Warrior who played was worth starting tonight.  Monta Ellis went off for 37, Stephen Curry had a nice all-around game, and even Vladimir Radmanovic recorded his first double-double since who knows when (adding 4 stl) as Corey Maggette and Andris Biedrins sat out with injuries.  Curry should be owned in most leagues; Radmanovic should be owned in more than the 4% of Yahoo leagues he’s currently owned.

Elton Brand

When Marreese Speights went down with an injury a week and a half ago, some astute fantasy basketballers noted these next couple weeks could really define Brand’s value this season.  Well, after last week’s dominant 3-game stretch, Brand fell back to earth with a resounding thud against the Wizards.  EB only mustered 4 pts and 7 reb on 1-9 shooting, not to mention only recording one measly block and no steals after having 11/8 blk/stl his previous 3 games.

Initially, I thought it might have something to do with the front line WAS marched out against Brand: Brendan Haywood, Fabricio Oberto (one of those pesky defensive post players), and Antawn Jamison.  (If I’m not mistaken, Brand’s only bucket came against Andray Blatche.)  If this were the case… no big deal.  Even first-rounders will have their off-nights against solid defenses.

However, Brand wound up leaving the game in the 3rd quarter with a sore hamstring, which is much more worrisome because his age/conditioning is the biggest red flag surrounding him this year.  Last week he wanted to prove coach Eddie Jordan wrong by playing big minutes (35+ for 3 games); tonight he proved that maybe he actually can’t handle big minutes.

What’s it all mean?  Brand probably goes back to having his minutes monitored somewhat (at least for the immediate future), which means we probably won’t see as many nights like last week’s.  Then again, he’s also proven that he can still bring it.  Unfortunately, I’d expect inconsistency (start him against J.J. Hickson and Ilgauskas; sit him against Pau Gasol and Andrew Bynum), but overall I think he can still average 16 and 9 with 1.5-2.0 blk, which is pretty much what he did last year (with one extra made FG per game).  In other words, if you can get a top 50 player for him, I’d probably cut my losses and take it.  If not, not all is lost as Brand can probably still provide value in the 50-75 range.  (This, of course, is a moving target.  This next week where we see what Brand can do with 30 mpg without Speights should be telling.)

Lou Williams

Lost in the Elton Brand Stock Panic of 2009 is the rise of Lou Williams in Philly.  I doubted Sweet Lou in the preseason (because I’ve never been a fan of shoot-first PG’s), but Lou has been the most consistent 76er so far this year.  He probably can’t keep shooting 50%, so I still think he’s a SELL HIGH candidate, but just don’t sell yourself short, as I think he can maintain his sneaky-good 1.7 spg (which is pretty on-target with his career steals per minute averages).

By the way, since Williams’ sleeper days are long gone, there’s a new sleeper in Philadelphia and his name is Jrue Holiday.  11 pts, 6 reb, 3 treys, and 2 stl last night…in 10 minutes as the 76ers almost came back against the Wizards.  Keep an eye on him in deeper leagues as he makes his case for more playing time.

Where will Elton Brand end this season ranked?

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Fantasy Basketball Strategy: Week 4 Recap and Week 5 Pickups

Don't call it a comeback, Brand's been here all year long.  He's just finally making some noise.  (Getty Images)

Don't call it a comeback, Brand's been here all year long. He's just finally making some noise. (Getty Images)

WEEK 4 RECAP

They’re Ba-aaack

Week 4 featured the return of several fantasy studs: Rashard Lewis, Devin Harris, Troy Murphy, and Pau Gasol.  (Thanks for playing, Ryan Andersen and Rafer Alston.  Here are some nice parting gifts…)

As for Murphy and Gasol, their fantasy impact is a little more complicated.  Murphy will definitely take away some of Roy Hibbert’s stats, but I think the young center will still be valuable contributing a near double-double with 2 bpg.  Meanwhile, if you didn’t sell high on Andrew Bynum before Gasol’s return, please don’t panic and let someone buy low on him these next few (or more?) games as he readjusts to Gasol.  19 and 11 might be a little much to expect, but he’ll be much better than 11 and 8 (his first game with Pau back).

On the flip side, Week 4 also saw some key injuries, including Jameer Nelson and Andrew Bogut.  If you’re looking for replacements, Jason Williams has had a couple decent games thus far, while Kurt Thomas/Hakim Warrick have each had a nice game (depending on the matchup) in Bogut’s absence.  (There are some more exciting pickups further below.)

They’re “Ba-aaack”

Week 4 also featured the “return” of two stud centers: Elton Brand and Al Jefferson. With Marresse Speights out of the way due to injury, Brand absolutely erupted, averaging 20 and 10 with 2.7/3.7 spg/bpg this week, good for the #2 ranking by averages in Yahoo leagues.  I’m not sure what to make of this unexpected outburst quite yet, as the 76ers lost two of those games and barely beat a new-look CHA team in the other game, but I’ll have my thoughts on whether Brand is a sell high or buy low guy shortly.

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Fantasy Basketball Strategy: Eye-Opening Lines from Sunday night

Like Danilo Gallinari, Channing Frye is offically "en fuego". (P.A. Molumby/NBAE/Getty Images)

Like Danilo Gallinari, Channing Frye is offically "en fuego". (P.A. Molumby/NBAE/Getty Images)

Again, in the first couple weeks of the season, sometimes it’s all about being the first in line.  I’ll do this more regularly (probably every Sunday/Wednesday) during the season, but I just wanted to point out a few impressive lines so you can snatch these guys while they’re still around (especially if there’s an “again” next to their name).

Note: Danilo Gallinari and Brandon Jennings are not on this list because they didn’t play Sunday.

Channing Frye

A day after dropping 6 threes against the Warriors — yes, even though it’s against GS, the stats still count — Frye dropped 6 more on the T-Wolves.  (Yes, even though it’s against MIN, the stats still count.)  Frye was a popular item in many drafts after a solid pre-season, and even though his production will likely take a (small?) hit when Robin Lopez returns, Frye has clearly earned a place in the rotation.  And he’s only owned in 52% of Yahoo leagues right now.

Ryan Gomes

Gomes finally had a big game, putting up 23 and 15 with 2 threes/steals.  Sure it was against the Suns, and the Wolves are of course without Kevin Love, but sometimes we all just need a running head start to get going, right?  (Currently owned in 29% of Yahoo leagues.)

Grant Hill (again)

Even with Jason Richardson returning from a 2-game suspension, Hill put up 23 and 10 with 1/1/1.  Again, he should be rostered in most league formats.  (Currently owned in 66% of Yahoo leagues.)

Marc Gasol (again)

Okay, so he’s already owned in 78% of Yahoo leagues, but he’s playing like he should be owned in all of them right now.  He put up 20 and 11 in his last game.

Peja Stojakovic

Peja had his biggest game of the season, knocking down 6 treys against the Celtics Sunday night.  I personally think there are better options out there (like anyone above), but if you need 3’s you could do worse.  (Currently owned in 60% of Yahoo leagues.)

J.J. Redick

I really don’t feel like checking all of his career game logs, but Redick may have had the best game of his career on Sunday, posting 27, 6, and 5 with 5 threes in Vince Carter’s absence.  If Carter’s injury lingers, Reddick is definitely worth a short term rental if you don’t have to sacrifice too much.  Yes, there are a lot of “if’s” in that sentence.  (Currently owned in 6% of Yahoo leagues.)

Ryan Anderson

And speaking of short term rentals filling in for injured/suspended Magic with long term potential, Anderson had his third consecutive solid game on Sunday, chipping in 5 threes against the Raptors.  Plus, he’s C-eligible in Yahoo leagues.  (Currently owned in 15% of Yahoo leagues.)

Other guys to keep an eye on (that may not have played Sunday):

Marreese Speights, Courtney Lee, Corey Brewer, Larry Hughes, DeJuan Blair, Erick Dampier

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Fantasy Basketball Strategy: Eye-Opening Lines from the Season’s First Full Night of Action

Although neither of them can jump anymore, one of these O'Neals might not be fantasy-finished just quite yet...  (NBAE)

Although neither of them can jump anymore, one of these O'Neals might not be fantasy-finished just quite yet... (NBAE)

Now that we’re done with those meaningless and (potentially) misleading eye-opening lines from the pre-season, how about some eye-opening lines from games that actually count.  In addition to looking at some lines from guys that are probably already rostered, I’ll look at (perhaps more importantly) lines from guys you want to keep an eye on.

First, a word of caution: While it can make or break your season if you land one of these game-changing free agents that went undrafted, something that can also make or break your season is dropping one of your sleepers before he pans out.  So, if you’re carrying dead weight, go ahead and jump on some of these guys.  Otherwise, just keep an eye on them and be ready to pounce (like, say, during the second quarter of their third consecutive solid game — sometimes you just can’t wait until that night).

Without further ado, some eye-opening lines from the season’s first full night of action (and a few from the first night too):

STARS

Gilbert Arenas

Sure, LeBron put up back-to-back monster lines, but that wasn’t the most eye-opening performance to me.  Even though I don’t own him in any leagues, it was still great to see Gilbert Arenas pour in 29 points with 9 assists in his season debut.  It’s certainly not a guarantee of anything, but still, nice to see.

Danny Granger

While Kevin Durant posted a line worthy of a fantasy first-rounder with 25 and 11, those who stuck with their guns and drafted Danny Granger must quietly be thrilled with his 31 points on 5 threes.  Again, it’s still early, but you geniuses may as well pat yourselves on the back (especially before Granger hurts himself).

BIGS

Nobody thrived more on opening night (and a half) than the League’s big men.  Some cases in point:

Brook Lopez poured in 27 and 15 with 5 blocks, and against Al Jefferson nonetheless.

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