Posts Tagged Jason Williams

Week 16 Pickups

George Hill plays on Monday and Thursday this week.  If that's important to you, then congratulations.  You're a fantasy nerd.  (AP)

George Hill plays on Monday and Thursday this week. If that's important to you, then congratulations. You're a fantasy nerd. (AP)

Because Week 16 is a short week (4 days), pickups are that much more important in H2H leagues.  So, in order to give you guys some more time to make those make-or-break pickups, I’m skipping the Week 15 Recap (Noah and the Foot Arch) in favor of posting this a day earlier than usual.  First, some logistics:

Mabye the most important thing to note: ORL has 3 games.

Most teams have two games, but SA has two games and plays on both Monday and Thursday (where there are only a total of 5 games going on).  This is important because it allows you to maximize (if your league doesn’t have a cap) the number of games you can get in for this week.

Think about it: If you’re only able to start 6 or 8 players per night, for example, you can maximize your games played (and minimize your games wasted on the bench) by picking up players that play on Monday and/or Thursday (or what I call “Off-Days” because most teams have those days off).  ORL and SA both play on both of the Off-Days for this week.  The following teams have 2 games this week, 1 of which occurs on an Off-Day: NO, GS, DAL, LAK, SA, DEN, and CLE.  In other words, if you have limited pickups, target players on ORL, SA, or these squads. Now onto the pickups (by team, with all/most guys available in 50+% of Yahoo leagues):

Orlando

J.J. Redick and Jason Williams are both decent bets for 3′s, as they’re getting solid minutes off the bench.  Matt Barnes has slowed of late, but he provides across the board production (and 3 games from him might be worth more than 1 game by a better player).

San Antonio

The best potentially available option out of SA is George Hill.  I’ve already written enough about him the past couple weeks so I won’t add too much more.  DeJuan Blair and Antonio McDyess could be helpful if you’re looking for boards.

Guys with 2 games (1 on an Off-Day)

The guys above are nice from a “quantity” perspective.  These guys might provide better quality: Darren Collison (if he’s available in your league, but if you’re reading fantasy basketball blogs, he’s probably not), Marcus Thornton (missed last two games, check status), Drew Gooden and Rodrigue Beaubois (esepcially on Monday vs GS), Shannon Brown, Arron AfflaloDaniel Gibson/Delonte West (check West’s status)

And if you don’t care about schedules…

Courtney Lee (heating up again), Brad Miller and Taj Gibson (with Joakim Noah out until the All Star break), Rudy Fernandez (with Roy out next week as well), Brandon Rush (only 1 game)

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Week 6 Recap (Starring Kevin Love as Troy Murphy) and Week 7 Pickups

I'm so sad I can't even make fun of Oden's 58-yr-old face.  Oops I did it again.  (Getty Images)

I'm so sad I can't even make fun of Oden's 58-yr-old face. Oops I did it again. (Getty Images)

Week 6 featured the return of Chris Paul and Troy Murphy Kevin Love, although the “return” on everyone’s minds doesn’t come until tomorrow night in Philadelphia.  It also featured the fall of one of my favorite sleepers on the year.  Greg “Sigh” Oden.

Chris Paul

In case anyone forgot, Paul returned to the lineup earlier than expected to remind everyone why he’s the most valuable player in fantasy with a near triple-double (the CP3 way): 16 pts, 15 ast, and 8 stl.

Some other immediate ramifications: Peja Stojakovic’s shot attempts sunk to 10 after enjoying about 13 per game during Paul’s absence (although in Peja’s defense he was returning from a minor injury).  Emeka Okafor saw an immediate boost in productivity, and I expect David West to follow shortly, in case you were looking to BUY LOW on either.  And Devin Brown (2% owned in Yahoo leagues) is emerging as a fantasy-viable player as the starting SG, totaling 11 treys in Paul’s last 4 (complete) healthy games.

Kevin Love (and Al Jefferson)

Love did his best impersonation of Troy Murphy in his first two games of action, averaging 14.5 pts and 10.5 reb to go with 2.0 3pg.  The 3′s were a pleasant surprise and after hitting only 2 all of last year, it looks like he’ll take at least 1 or 2 attempts per game this year.

Meanwhile, Al Jefferson enjoyed his two best rebounding games in a while, totaling 25 in Love’s first two games back.  It might seem a little counter-intuitive, but I like this trend to continue, even when Love is inserted into the starting lineup.  As I mentioned back when Love got injured, Jefferson doesn’t have to shoulder the entire rebounding load anymore, as the other team will actually have to box out another legitimate rebounder now.  The other contributing factor?  Jefferson has looked lackadaisical at times this year, but not the last two games.  Energy is contagious around Love, and even though the Wolves won’t be fighting for a playoff spot anytime soon, I like Jefferson to play with a little more fire now that their squad has a legit chance to win every most some nights.

If you can convince Big Al’s owner that Love will actually eat into his stats, he could still be a nice BUY LOW option if you can get him at a reasonable price. Read the rest of this entry »

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20-Second Timeout: Jameer Nelson and Tracy McGrady

Wouldn't you be bored if you had to sit next to Stan Van Gundy all the time?  (Getty Images)

Wouldn't you be bored if you had to sit next to Stan Van Gundy all the time? (Getty Images)

Jameer Nelson

It’s been about 2 weeks since Nelson’s surgery on his left knee.  The original timeframe for his return was 4-6 weeks, so that puts him at 2-4 weeks away.  If he’s available in your league (33% of Yahoo leagues), I’d pick him up sooner rather than later.  If you want to trade for him on the relatively cheap, that window is quickly closing.  Jason Williams has established himself in ORL’s rotation, but I still like Nelson to approach top 50 numbers (by averages) with his efficiency.

There’s no real “newsy” news on his status, besides that the original timeframe still applies as of two days ago.  But if you want to read into anything (like I love to do), here’s a quote from last week in the Orlando Sentinel:

“Some teammates have been forecasting a quicker return for Nelson then the original four-to-six week prognosis.

“When asked about how far he was from a come back, Nelson said, coyly, ‘Weeks. Four to six. That’s what I say. I don’t know.’”

Yes, I know, it’s that same 4-6 week timeframe.  But he said it coyly!  Coyly!!!  Anyways.

Tracy McGrady

Is T-Mac the new AI?  (Getty Images)

Is T-Mac the new AI? (Getty Images)

McGrady’s situation is a lot less clear than Nelson’s.  In fact, the clearest report that I’ve read of his potential return is still (admittedly) pretty murky itself.  From yesterday’s Houston Chronicle:

“Rockets coach Rick Adelman said again on Wednesday that there is “no timetable” for McGrady’s return. There is, he said, one criterion to meet for McGrady to make his season debut. McGrady, Adelman said, must be ready in Adelman’s estimation to help the Rockets win.

“As uncomplicated as that seems, however, the decision seems more about basketball than health considerations…”

In other words, it seems like the Rockets are treating McGrady much like a lot of teams were treating Allen Iverson the past couple weeks.  Sure, he still has skills… but is he going to totally disrupt that Houston offense??  The Rockets are surprising everyone — including me, a native Houstonian — this year.  (Although if you think about it, it shouldn’t be too surprising given the Rocket’s performance sans Yao Ming and T-Mac in the playoffs last year.)  If the Rockets were struggling, you’d have to think they might be in a bigger hurry to bring T-Mac back.

Another factor at play here is T-Mac’s trade value.  I haven’t heard any rumors in recent months, but last year a T-Mac for Chancey Billups deal was rumored before Billups was dealt for AI.  T-Mac’s value as a player has declined since then, but he still has that huge expiring contract — and just in time for the FA class of 2010.  Maybe the Rockets are being cautious because they want to be as certain as possible that T-Mac won’t hurt himself and hurt his trade value any more?

Fantasy-wise, it’s a headache that I personally don’t want to deal with.  Even though I wouldn’t be surprised if T-Mac has some monster games this year, I also wouldn’t be surprised by some unexpected DNP’s.  The main reason I’d take a flyer on him is if I thought I could flip him in a trade after a hot streak.  But that’s easier said than done after T-Mac’s injury-riddled last couple years.  (He’s available in 41% of Yahoo leagues.)

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Fantasy Basketball Strategy: Week 5 Recap and Week 6 Pickups (updated)

WEEK 5 RECAP

Week 5 featured the return of an old fantasy friend, the departure of a new fantasy stud, and the comings and goings (and potential returnings) of a fantasy legend.

Say it ain't so, AI!  Oh, that was easy... (AP)

"Brett Favre ain't got nothing on me!" (AP)

Allen Iverson

Iverson was probably my favorite player over the past decade, as I’ve always admired his “fight” and determination.  That’s why the announcing of his retirement came as a total shock to me.  Turns out, it might have been a little premature.  A week ago, the Knicks seemed like the only team desperate enough to give Iverson a starting job again.  Well, it’s funny what a broken jaw can do to a team’s desperation factor.  If the 76ers pick up Iverson, I don’t like him as much as I did had he become a Knick, but he’s probably too good to be a FA in most fantasy leagues.  (He’s currently available in 64% of Yahoo leagues; so keep a close eye on this situation.)

Lou Williams

Speaking of that broken jaw, Williams was absolutely killing it when I finally admitted I might have underestimated him in my last article.  If you own him, I’m sorry… I take all the blame for jinxing him.

It looks like Lou will be out 8 weeks.  I was just telling some readers that I might hang onto him if I’m in or near the lead in my league (or at least see how my team does for the next week).  On the other hand, if you’re in the middle of the pack in a H2H league, you might not be able to afford the roster spot.  Adding a wrinkle to the situation is Allen Iverson’s possible un-retirement, which would put a damper on William’s eventual return and might push me over the edge in dropping Lou.  By the way, so far the big “winners” from Williams’ injury are Andre Iguodala and Jrue Holiday (although beware of FG%’s!).

Mike Dunleavy

Dunleavy had a successful return last week, chipping in 13 pts against the Mavs in only 15 min (while adding 1 3pm/stl/blk).  That Indiana wing position suddenly looks crowded with Brandon Rush and Dahntay Jones in the mix too, but Dunleavy might have the most upside of all three.  And he’s currently available in over half (53%) of Yahoo leagues.

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Fantasy Basketball Strategy: Week 4 Recap and Week 5 Pickups

Don't call it a comeback, Brand's been here all year long.  He's just finally making some noise.  (Getty Images)

Don't call it a comeback, Brand's been here all year long. He's just finally making some noise. (Getty Images)

WEEK 4 RECAP

They’re Ba-aaack

Week 4 featured the return of several fantasy studs: Rashard Lewis, Devin Harris, Troy Murphy, and Pau Gasol.  (Thanks for playing, Ryan Andersen and Rafer Alston.  Here are some nice parting gifts…)

As for Murphy and Gasol, their fantasy impact is a little more complicated.  Murphy will definitely take away some of Roy Hibbert’s stats, but I think the young center will still be valuable contributing a near double-double with 2 bpg.  Meanwhile, if you didn’t sell high on Andrew Bynum before Gasol’s return, please don’t panic and let someone buy low on him these next few (or more?) games as he readjusts to Gasol.  19 and 11 might be a little much to expect, but he’ll be much better than 11 and 8 (his first game with Pau back).

On the flip side, Week 4 also saw some key injuries, including Jameer Nelson and Andrew Bogut.  If you’re looking for replacements, Jason Williams has had a couple decent games thus far, while Kurt Thomas/Hakim Warrick have each had a nice game (depending on the matchup) in Bogut’s absence.  (There are some more exciting pickups further below.)

They’re “Ba-aaack”

Week 4 also featured the “return” of two stud centers: Elton Brand and Al Jefferson. With Marresse Speights out of the way due to injury, Brand absolutely erupted, averaging 20 and 10 with 2.7/3.7 spg/bpg this week, good for the #2 ranking by averages in Yahoo leagues.  I’m not sure what to make of this unexpected outburst quite yet, as the 76ers lost two of those games and barely beat a new-look CHA team in the other game, but I’ll have my thoughts on whether Brand is a sell high or buy low guy shortly.

Read the rest of this entry »

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