Posts Tagged Hakim Warrick

Week 17 Recap (Snatch Blatche) and Week 18 Pickups

Week 17 was all about the trades.  It saw the emergence of a perennial sleeper candidate (or two), the triumphant (at least for now) return of a former first rounder, and the early deaths of some promising fantasy seasons… all the result of big-time trades.  The Recap:

Not to rain on T-Mac's parade, but another former Magic/Rocket, Steve Francis, also had a solid Knick debut with 16, 5, and 4. Just saying... (Getty)

Cavs lose!  Cavs lose!  Cavs lose!

That’s right, the new-look Cavs are 0-3 after acquiring Antawn Jamison.  Is it the curse of Big Z?  Or is it a hex of fantasy owners of Jamison, Ilgauskas, J.J. Hickson, and Anderson Varejao?  Of course, the trade had obvious fantasy ramifications (basically, it sucked for all the guys mentioned above), but why is the losing streak so important?  Because it means the Cavs and Lakers are in a near-dead heat for the top record in the NBA… which is great news if you own guys like LeBron or Kobe, who probably can’t afford to rest late into the season as the race for home court advantage comes down to the wire.

(Meanwhile, Jamison put up a dud in his first game but bounced back on Sunday.  All those other bigs in CLE?  I’m not sure they’ll ever bounce back.)

T-Mac + D’Antoni = WTF

If you look at my rankings of the biggest trade deadline winners (and losers), I had Tracy McGrady ranked near the top of the second tier (although of course qualified that by saying he had the biggest upside of anyone on the list).  Well, he made his case for being ranked near the top of the first tier in his first game as a Knick, going off for 26, 4, and 5 with great percentages.  Hell, he even shocked himself, as he didn’t expect to play more than 20 min and was admittedly exhausted by the end of the OT game.

I’ve always said the main reason I would own McGrady would be to sell high on him after a hot streak.  Well, this might be the right time if you can get a good bounty in return.  However, Mike D’Antoni has said the Knicks are going to run the rest of the way (See: Wilson Chandler starting at PF instead of SG, where he has started all year).  And with T-Mac playing nice and saying he’s willing to come back to NY at a discount next year, D’Antoni just might keep running him out there for 30+ mpg to build chemistry.  Because of his injury risk, I’d be inclined to sell high, but don’t sell yourself short.

Fantasy ROY Race

First it was Tyreke Evans vs. Brandon Jennings.  Then it was Evans vs. Stephen Curry.  Now is it Curry vs. Darren Collison?  Okay, that’s an overstatement.  But over the last three weeks, it’s been pretty close:


FG% FT% 3PM PTS REB AST STL BLK TO
Stephen Curry .434 .933 2.2 18.4 4.6 7.6 1.8 0.0 4.1
Darren Collison .473 .829 1.1 19.7 4.7 9.8 1.7 0.2 4.9

Of course, when Chris Paul returns, this race ends, but it just goes to show how valuable both have been over the last three weeks, and how valuable Curry will be the rest of the year.

WEEK 18 PICKUPS

I’m going to steal from myself and just reiterate some of the biggest trade deadline winners, with some slight adjustments given 3 days-worth of new info.

First of all, trade deadline winners like Andray Blatche (62%) , Tyrus Thomas (63%), T-Mac (74%), and Josh Howard (76%) have already cleared the 50% ownership mark in Yahoo leagues and will thus be excluded.  (I like them in that order by the way.)  The rest:

Casspi & Butler. Ambiguously gay photo, unambiguously solid fantasy pickups. (Getty)

Omri Casspi (33%)

Casspi posted 15, 5, and 3 with 3 steals in his first game with the new-look Kings.  Nothing flashy, but he should get relatively consistent minutes in SAC the rest of the way, as he and Evans are the clear building blocks of that team’s future.

JaVale McGee (17%)

It’s tough to find 11 ppg, 7.3 rpg, and 2.7 bpg off the FA list, but that’s exactly what McGee has delivered in 3 post-trade starts… and all while playing with a sprained wrist.

Rasual Butler (31%)

He can be streaky, but right now he’s streaking the right direction with 17 treys in his last 5 games.  It might take some time, but with Al Thornton out of the way and Travis Outlaw’s indefinite return, Butler could slowly make his was off this list by clearing the 50% hurdle.

C.J. Watson (18%)

Watson has reemerged with Monta Ellis starting to burn out.  Don Nelson recently stated he would not be running guys out for 40+ mpg sometime soon, which means Watson should/might start getting consistent playing time again.  So while I wouldn’t expect the 27, 4, and 4 with great percentages and ~2 treys/stl per game that Watson posted last week, I’d still expect useful fantasy stats.

DeAndre Jordan (5%)

Jordan had a mixed bag of results in the Clips’ first 3 games without Marcus Camby, averaging 8 and 8 with 2.3 bpg.  Those numbers might not be worth taking on his atrocious FT%, but if you’ve already punted that category, he’s a nice pickup.  If not, approach with caution.  (Also keep in mind that Drew Gooden has decided not to take a buy-out and will stay with the Clips.  Obviously Gooden cares about winning and not living in sunny southern California…)

Sergio Rodriguez (9%) and Eddie House (13%)

Rodriguez was the hot pickup after whispers that he might start in New York.  And even though he had a lackluster debut, he’d still be a big catch running the Knicks’ new old up-tempo offense.  Meanwhile, House — who has played and excelled for D’Antoni before — stepped right in and had a huge first game as the Knicks’ super-6th man.  Looks like they both have a chance to make a splash in NY, but just remember that Rodriguez has a real chance to average 8+ apg if/when he steps into that starter’s role before you give up on him.

Keep an eye on… everyone from my trade deadline post, with some tweaks:

Taj Gibson (24% — I’m slightly downgrading him from my previous list because Joakim Noah has already returned; check Noah’s status and think about selling high on Gibson if Noah’s foot starts feeling better), Nate Robinson (52% — been dropped so much he might actually be available; keep an eye on his new role in BOS), Al Thornton and Hakim Warrick (45% and 14% — slight upgrades after debuts on new squads), Jonas Jerebko (9%), Shannon Brown (6% — check Kobe’s status), Mario Chalmers (33% — check Rafer Alston’s status), and last but not least, Anthony Tolliver (6%)

Which trade deadline winner would you prefer on your squad?

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Trade Fallout: So many trades, so few roster spots

Wow, that was a busy trade season.  I haven’t seen that many players swapped since baseball cards were still cool to collect.  But since, realistically, most of us only had one or two roster spots to tinker with, how do we make sense of all the trade winners and losers?  Well, here’s my preliminary ranking (by tiers) of guys who are available in 50+% of Yahoo leagues (at least, before the trading deadline):

MUST-OWNS

Andray Blatche

First game post-Jamison and Haywood said it all, even if it came against the undersized T-Wolves.

Omri Casspi

Put up top 50 numbers when Martin was out earlier this year, and is a clear building block of the franchise.

Tyrus Thomas

With ample playing time, expect some wild stl/blk stat lines in the future.

JaVale McGee (at least in deeper leagues)

Like Blatche, he had an eye-opening effort against the T-Wolves,  Before that, he’s been very promising in stretches, albeit inconsistent.  He’s in the top tier because of his upside and the fact that his FT% isn’t nearly as bad as another C I’ll mention below.

NICE-TO-OWNS

Taj Gibson

Should see a nice boost while Joakim Noah is out.  Otherwise, at least he should enjoy a nice boost in confidence with Thomas gone.

Sergio Rodriguez

This guy might belong in the top tier if he can take Chris Duhon’s starting job, as has been rumored.  He’s probably a must-own in deeper leagues based purely on speculation.

Tracy McGrady

It’s kind of sad I would rather own Sergio Rodriguez right now, but T-Mac probably has more upside than anyone on this list.  He’s the true wild card of this group.

Josh Howard

Okay, he’s probably already taken in your league.  But if not, I’d rank him right below T-Mac.

Rasual Butler

Al Thornton’s exit and Travis Outlaw’s uncertain return mean big minutes for Butler.

DeAndre Jordan

Mixed bag in first two games post-Marcus Camby.  His upside is equal to McGee’s, but in his career as a starter he’s shooting a putrid 36% on a substantial 4.4 FT attempts per game.  His inconsistency might not be worth that negative pressure.

Craig Smith

Doesn’t do much besides score and score efficiently.  Those looking to make a last minute charge up the FG% ranks in roto leagues should consider him.

Francisco Garcia

He was a stud last year after the Kings traded away John Salmons.  The only problem this year — Tyreke Evans, Donte Greene, and Omri Casspi are all emerging and playing well.  And who knows what Larry Hughes’ role will be.

Donte Greene

See: Garcia, Francisco.

KEEP AN EYE ON

Nate Robinson

I dropped Nate for JaVale McGee in what was a needs-based move in one league, but BOS might actually be a good situation for Nate.  You know they want to rest Ray Allen for the playoffs, so it’s possible Nate could get 25-30 mpg as an instant offense sixth man.  Or, he could get the same minutes Eddie House was getting.  Who knows?  So keep an eye on him.

Nick Young

WAS is playing for the future, and Young would qualify as such.  If you need 3’s, they might start falling soon…

Rudy Fernandez and Jerryd Bayless

Even with Steve Blake gone, these guys kind of cancel each other out.  If Brandon Roy continues to be hampered by his hammy, both would enjoy instant upgrades.

Jared Jeffries and Hilton Armstrong

Jeffries’ skills are a perfect match for Houston’s style of play.  However, he probably won’t get close to the minutes he was getting in NY.  We’ll have to wait and see what that averages out to.  And speaking of playing time, Armstrong will be battling Jeffries for the minutes that Carl Landry vacated in Houston.  He hasn’t done much this year, but has been useful for stretches in the past.

Hakim Warrick

He doesn’t do much besides score, but CHI chose him over more defensive big men like Kurt Thomas and Francisco Elson for a reason.  With Salmons gone, Warrick could be leaned on for some (unorthodox) post scoring.

Beno Udrih

Udrih was useful the first time Martin was missing games, but the return of Francisco Garcia complicates that backcourt enough for me to be cautiously optimistic about Udrih the rest of the way.

Al Thornton

A change of scenery might do him good, but he’s still playing behind Mike Miller and Howard.

IT’S NOT YOU, IT’S ME…

You might not want to cut some of these guys right away, but if you have to in order to snatch one of the “Must-Owns” I’d probably make the move.

Channing Frye

I’m sticking Frye on this list because he was probably hurt the most by the Suns’ inability to trade Amare Stoudemire.  He could still very possibly get hot for multiple games at a time, but Robin Lopez is entrenched as the starter now, killing Frye’s consistency.  (I’d hang onto him in deeper leagues though.)

J.J. Hickson and Anderson Varejao

Again, maybe wait at least a couple days before dropping these guys, but that CLE frontcourt is awfully crowded now. But do what you gotta do and don’t look back.

Drew Gooden

Looks like he’s staying in Clipperland, where he might actually be somewhat useful, but his upside is limited.

Ronnie Brewer and Charlie Bell

Brewer and Bell are headed to the MEM and MIL benches, and there are definitely more attractive fish in the sea.

Zydrunas Ilgauskas

If his contract is bought out, he’s worthless for 4 weeks.  If he rejoins CLE or goes to DAL, it’s not much better.

Erick Dampier

I was down on him from the start.  A broken finger sealed his fate.

Did I miss anyone?  Of course I did.  Feel free to let me know below…

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20-Second Timeout: Andrew Bogut, Elton Brand, and Luis Scola

Andrew Bogut

According to Rotoworld and Bucks play-by-play announcer Jim Paschke, Andrew “Australian for BeeeeRightBack” Bogut is back in the Bucks’ lineup tonight, two weeks earlier than expected.  He’s currently available in 30% of Yahoo leagues so make sure he’s not available in yours.

Hopefully you didn’t start Kurt Thomas or Hakim Warrick if you’re in a weekly lineup league.  And who knows, with the added offensive weapon/distraction, maybe Brandon Jennings will even shoot better than 30% tonight…

Elton Brand and Luis Scola

And in other news, it looks like EB will return to the lineup Monday as well, and Scola is good to go for the Rockets’ next game Wednesday.  Jason Smith and David Andersen, please re-seat yourselves on the bench.

[update] Uh, just kidding on Scola.  He’s now listed as doubtful for Wednesday.  Apologies, David Andersen owners.

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Fantasy Basketball Strategy: Week 5 Recap and Week 6 Pickups (updated)

WEEK 5 RECAP

Week 5 featured the return of an old fantasy friend, the departure of a new fantasy stud, and the comings and goings (and potential returnings) of a fantasy legend.

Say it ain't so, AI!  Oh, that was easy... (AP)

"Brett Favre ain't got nothing on me!" (AP)

Allen Iverson

Iverson was probably my favorite player over the past decade, as I’ve always admired his “fight” and determination.  That’s why the announcing of his retirement came as a total shock to me.  Turns out, it might have been a little premature.  A week ago, the Knicks seemed like the only team desperate enough to give Iverson a starting job again.  Well, it’s funny what a broken jaw can do to a team’s desperation factor.  If the 76ers pick up Iverson, I don’t like him as much as I did had he become a Knick, but he’s probably too good to be a FA in most fantasy leagues.  (He’s currently available in 64% of Yahoo leagues; so keep a close eye on this situation.)

Lou Williams

Speaking of that broken jaw, Williams was absolutely killing it when I finally admitted I might have underestimated him in my last article.  If you own him, I’m sorry… I take all the blame for jinxing him.

It looks like Lou will be out 8 weeks.  I was just telling some readers that I might hang onto him if I’m in or near the lead in my league (or at least see how my team does for the next week).  On the other hand, if you’re in the middle of the pack in a H2H league, you might not be able to afford the roster spot.  Adding a wrinkle to the situation is Allen Iverson’s possible un-retirement, which would put a damper on William’s eventual return and might push me over the edge in dropping Lou.  By the way, so far the big “winners” from Williams’ injury are Andre Iguodala and Jrue Holiday (although beware of FG%’s!).

Mike Dunleavy

Dunleavy had a successful return last week, chipping in 13 pts against the Mavs in only 15 min (while adding 1 3pm/stl/blk).  That Indiana wing position suddenly looks crowded with Brandon Rush and Dahntay Jones in the mix too, but Dunleavy might have the most upside of all three.  And he’s currently available in over half (53%) of Yahoo leagues.

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Fantasy Basketball Strategy: Week 4 Recap and Week 5 Pickups

Don't call it a comeback, Brand's been here all year long.  He's just finally making some noise.  (Getty Images)

Don't call it a comeback, Brand's been here all year long. He's just finally making some noise. (Getty Images)

WEEK 4 RECAP

They’re Ba-aaack

Week 4 featured the return of several fantasy studs: Rashard Lewis, Devin Harris, Troy Murphy, and Pau Gasol.  (Thanks for playing, Ryan Andersen and Rafer Alston.  Here are some nice parting gifts…)

As for Murphy and Gasol, their fantasy impact is a little more complicated.  Murphy will definitely take away some of Roy Hibbert’s stats, but I think the young center will still be valuable contributing a near double-double with 2 bpg.  Meanwhile, if you didn’t sell high on Andrew Bynum before Gasol’s return, please don’t panic and let someone buy low on him these next few (or more?) games as he readjusts to Gasol.  19 and 11 might be a little much to expect, but he’ll be much better than 11 and 8 (his first game with Pau back).

On the flip side, Week 4 also saw some key injuries, including Jameer Nelson and Andrew Bogut.  If you’re looking for replacements, Jason Williams has had a couple decent games thus far, while Kurt Thomas/Hakim Warrick have each had a nice game (depending on the matchup) in Bogut’s absence.  (There are some more exciting pickups further below.)

They’re “Ba-aaack”

Week 4 also featured the “return” of two stud centers: Elton Brand and Al Jefferson. With Marresse Speights out of the way due to injury, Brand absolutely erupted, averaging 20 and 10 with 2.7/3.7 spg/bpg this week, good for the #2 ranking by averages in Yahoo leagues.  I’m not sure what to make of this unexpected outburst quite yet, as the 76ers lost two of those games and barely beat a new-look CHA team in the other game, but I’ll have my thoughts on whether Brand is a sell high or buy low guy shortly.

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Injury Timeout: Michael Redd

Get some knee braces on this guy, stat!  (D. Garrabrant/NBAE/Getty Images)

Get some knee braces on this guy, stat! (D. Garrabrant/NBAE/Getty Images)

As you’ve probably heard by now if you peruse fantasy basketball blogs, Michael Redd is out the next two weeks with a strained patella tendon.  Or rather, out at least two weeks.  Normally, I would just consider two-week injuries a natural part of fantasy basketball, but when you hear “at least” in front of that two weeks… yuck.  (But it also means it’s blog-worthy!)  The fantasy impact:

Brandon Jennings

The guys over at Brew Hoop were exactly right when they mentioned Jennings would have to shoulder more of the offensive load.  And I’m thrilled to have arguably the least-hyped (at least during the pre-season) of those rookie PGs (Tyreke Evans, Jonny Flynn, and Stephen Curry the others) on all my fantasy teams.  While I don’t think I would mind having him the entire year, despite the ups and downs, Jennings could certainly also be a sell high candidate in two weeks.  Stay tuned.

(By the way, I love this kid’s swagger.  I usually wouldn’t start a rookie PG in his third pro game in fantasy, but didn’t you just have a feeling he would bring it against D-Rose last night?  Let the man-crush begin…)

Andrew Bogut

After a putrid first two games, in which he looked “out of sorts and uninvolved”, Bogut was very involved last night, chipping in 16 and 13 with 3 blk.  I like to think he would’ve come around eventually anyway, but Redd’s absence will certainly make things easier.  I got lucky and made a small deal for him pre-Redd’s injury in one of my leagues, but there’s a small chance you won’t even have to make a trade, as he’s available in 25% of Yahoo leagues after that slow start.  So act fast if you need a C.

Hakim Warrick

I actually dropped Warrick for Jennings in one of my leagues last week, but I believe he deserves a look in most leagues, especially these next two weeks.  His minutes were limited the Bucks’ first couple games, but Scott Skiles inserted Warrick into the starting lineup because a) that was probably going to happen anyway and b) the Bucks needed the offensive lift.  Warrick only responded with 11 points on 5-15 shooting, but he also chipped in 10 rebounds and 1 stl/blk in 34 minutes.

And while I can’t get too excited about his career %s or lack of 3’s, this whole situation reminds me of a similar one in Milwaukee last year.  (Charlie Villanueva, anyone?)

Charlie Bell

If Redd’s injury turns out to be serious, all those guys above become even more valuable, and Bell becomes fantasy-viable for the first time since 2006-07.  (He’s already worth a look in deeper leagues.)  Fantasy-wise, he had a decent game last night chipping in 11 points on 5-11 shooting with one 3-pt.  Real life-wise, he had a great game, helping to shut down John Salmons (something I’m sure Scott Skiles can appreciate).

Did I leave anyone/anything out?  Feel free to let me know below…

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Fantasy Basketball Draft Rankings: 126-150

I’ve finished updating my draft rankings from 101-150.  I’ll post it in two different entries, to make it a little more readable.  Be sure to check out the complete list from 1-150 on the Draft Rankings tab, complete with one-liners.

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Fantasy Basketball Draft Rankings: 51-60

Fantasy basketball draft rankings: 51-60

These rankings are based on a standard 9-category format, with a slight leaning towards H2H leagues, although differing strategies for roto leagues are noted when applicable.


Player Team POS Analysis
51 Tony Parker SA PG As I mentioned above, his numbers probably won’t be too far off from Derrick Rose’s.  But I guess since he’s already been around the block a few times, everyone’s gunning for the young guy.  Sorry, Tony.  As a consolation, you’re dating Eva Longoria.
52 Andris Biedrins GS C Nellie still drives me crazy.  Biedrins was wildly erratic month-to-month last year, largely because of playing time.  Plus, it’s hard to predict what kind of sickness Anthony Randolph will bring to the table.  At the least, Biedrins should still be good for a double-double with solid FG% and 1+ bpg.
53 Rudy Gay MEM SF I was looking for him to have a nice bounce-back year…until MEM signed Zach Randolph.  Then Allen Iverson.  (Sound familiar?)  Still, as a potential 1/1/1 guy I expect Gay to sneak into  the Top 50, but probably not the Top 25 as I was thinking pre-Z-Bo and AI.
54 Jason Richardson PHO SG, SF While Richardson has become somewhat of a category specialist in recent years, he is suddenly the #2 scoring option on a rejuvenated Suns team. It’s unfair to expect him to shoot 49% like he did with PHO last year, but I wouldn’t be surprised by a near-return to his GS numbers, except in AST. (Side note: With his F-eligibility in Yahoo leagues, I’d rank him a little higher.)
55 Andrew Bynum LAK C He has the upside (not to mention the favorable schedule in H2H leagues) but can he finally stay healthy?  I think he’s worth the gamble in the late fifth round of drafts for 12-team leagues, but you might be able to wait a little longer.  Just try not to remind anyone of that dominant 5-game stretch right before Kobe went Tonya Harding on his knee last year.
56 Mo Williams CLE PG He’ll be more comfortable in his second year as LBJ’s sidekick, but I expect that to help his FG% more than his AST.  LeBron simply handles the ball too much for Williams to average more than 5 apg.  Still, the 3’s plus CLE’s great schedule are nice positives.
57 Michael Redd MIL SG, SF Coming back from a major injury, Redd’s season is tough to project, although reports indicate he should be ready by training camp.  With only Andrew Bogut and Hakim Warrick as proven scorers, Redd will likely fill up the PTS and 3PM columns when he’s healthy.  However, his FG% and AST could suffer as a result of playing with so little talent around him.
58 Shawn Marion DAL SF, PF Reunited with J-Kidd in an up-offense won’t totally resurrect the Matrix’s career. But it means he will likely provide great value in the middle rounds. While I think his PTS and REB will tick back up, because of his age I’m more hesitant about his STL/BLK, although he still has 1/1/1 potential. The 3’s are also a difficult call. If he starts taking them again during the preseason, I’d bump him up. (Update: It seems like about one in eight people I talk to absolutely loves Marion this year, meaning if you are one of those people, you’ll likely need to draft Marion in the third/fourth rounds.)
59 Mehmet Okur UTA PF, C With Boozer and Millsap both healthy and taking up minutes, Okur could see a slight dip in his minutes and production this season. Last year, he also attempted fewer 3’s than he had in the previous few seasons. While this translated into better efficiency last year, this year be prepared for a slight dip across the board, especially in PTS and REB.
60 Ron Artest LAK SG, SF Artest has never played on a team with as much talent as the Lakers, and consequently won’t be asked to do as much on the offensive end.  His PTS will surely decrease, but theoretically with a boost in efficiency.  On the defensive end, I like him to approach his lifetimes averages of 2.1 spg and 0.6 bpg as he will be able to take more risks with Bynum and Gasol behind him.

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