Posts Tagged Derek Fisher
Week 14 Recap (Who Dat? It’s Darren Collison) and Week 15 Pickups
Posted by fantasy hoopster in Fantasy Basketball on January 31, 2010
Week 14 was business as usual for the most part… until it was reported Sunday that Chris Paul will undergo arthroscopic surgery on his left knee and miss 1-2 months. Before you even read anything else, run out and pick up Darren Collison, who had 18 assists in Paul’s absence on Saturday. More on that below, but first the (abbrev.) recap:

Darren Collison, it's time to shake up some fantasy basketball leagues. (Getty Images)
WEEK 14 RECAP
- Mike Miller exploded for 25, 9, and 8 including 7-10 from downtown against the Knicks on Saturday. When news of Gilbert Arenas’ legal woes first broke, I thought Miller would give Randy Foye a run for his money in terms of being the most valuable pickup. It’s just one game (and chances are the Knicks won’t play zone against WAS when they meet again this week), but at the very least make sure Miller isn’t a FA in your league.
- Attention, Tyreke Evans and Brandon Jennings: Stephen Curry is running away with the fantasy ROY race.
- The Detroit backcourt is slowly getting healthy… putting a dent in the fantasy values of every member of that team, as there are only so many minutes to go around.
- Channing Frye might be better as a sixth man, as he’s become a much more efficient player. Lou Williams: better as a sixth man? Not so much. (Although Lou posted a nice line Sunday, it seems whenever Jrue Holiday or Willie Green are playing well, Lou is the odd man out.) Both are worth holding, especially Frye, as the Suns and 76ers figure to make deals before the trade deadline. (I dropped Lou for Paul Millsap in one league though.) And if Amare Stoudemire gets shipped out of Phoenix, Frye could very well end up back in the starting lineup starting alongside Robin Lopez.
- Andrew Bynum is learning to coexist with Pau Gasol.
- And after nearly getting suspended earlier in the week, J.R. Smith had his best week of the year, averaging 17 ppg, 3.3 threes and 2.3 spg in Carmelo Anthony’s absence. Meanwhile, Kenyon Martin continues to dominate the boards, hurting Nene Hilario’s value. I expect that to even out (some) in the long term though, and since KMart is a perennial injury risk, I would sell high. (Nene could be a sneaky buy low as well, as nagging injuries have slowed him down some lately.)
WEEK 15 PICKUPS

In New Orleans, everyone's saying "Who Dat?" lately. Why, it's Darren Collison again. Pick him up. (Getty Images)
Darren Collison (15%)
At the time I’m writing this, Collison has already jumped up from being owned in 2% of Yahoo leagues to start the week to 15% and rising. He filled in admirably for Paul on Saturday night and could deliver some teams to fantasy victory in the coming months.
Marcus Thornton (25%)
Likewise, Thornton should benefit from Paul’s absence. I was already going to include him on this list as he was recently inserted into the starting lineup, but now his playing time/value increases even more. In 4 games as a starter (one without CP3), Thornton is averaging 18 ppg and 2.3 treys.
Goerge Hill (23%)
Continuing with the point/combo-guard theme, Hill is a great add with Tony Parker out in the short term. And, like Thornton above, Hill had recently been inserted into the starting lineup anyway, where he was already being productive. I give a slight nod to Thornton in preference, but only because the Hornets will need him to step up without CP3 the next 1-2 months, whereas Parker’s injury isn’t as serious.
Brandon Rush (39%)
One of my preseason sleepers, Rush is quietly averaging 13.6 ppg and 5 rpg to go with 2.1/0.6/1.0 threes/stl/blk per game over the last two weeks. Like I mentioned last week, Danny Granger’s return has really sparked him.
Robin Lopez (40%)
There’s no reason Lopez should be owned in less than half of Yahoo leagues (unless all his owners are dropping him for Collison). If Amare Stoudemire does in fact get traded, Lopez should get all the minutes he can handle, with Steve Nash spoon-feeding him buckets. He had a mediocre week last week, but he’s still worth a calculated gamble in my book.
Jared Jeffries (5%)
If you need defensive help in deeper leagues, Jeffries has averaged 1.3 spg and bpg over the last two months.
Keep an eye on: Keyon Dooling (2% — check Devin Harris’ status), Brad Miller (41% — resurrected his season this past week), Kris Humprhies (7%), Chase Budinger (3% — second guy off the bench with Kyle Lowry out), Goran Dragic (16%)
And before I go…
Corey Brewer (54%)
He’s made my “Keep an eye on” list the last several weeks, and Brewer has finally cleared the 50% hurdle with another stellar 3-pt shooting week. Add in the fact that MIN only has 2 games this week, and you’re probably wondering why I’m including him here though. Well, I just needed an excuse to post this video. (Apologies, Derek Fisher.)
Player Spotlight: Is the “old” Brandon Jennings back?
Posted by fantasy hoopster in Fantasy Basketball, Fantasy Basketball Strategy on December 10, 2009

See that look in his eyes? It's called infrared court vision. (Getty Images)
Brandon Jennings finally found the bottom of the net again last night, “breaking out” of an ugly shooting slump. (He also hyperextended his knee in the third quarter, although it seems to be no big deal.) Sure, it’s nice that he shot an Andrew Bogut-like FG% vs the Raptors, and I’ve been begging owners to be patient with Young Money and not to sell low on him, but does it really mean he broke out of his slump? Or is something else going on here? The answer might be in the splits…
Jennings at home: 25.5 ppg, 5.9 apg, 3.6 rpg, 3.0 3pg, 47.9% FG, 56.9% 3PT, 80.4% FT
Jennings on the road: 16.4 ppg, 5.5 apg, 4.0 rpg, 1.4 3pg, 34.4% FG, 28.6% 3PT, 78.8% FT
Those are pretty drastic differences, especially in PTS, 3PM, and FG%. (Of course, let’s not forget the double-nickel vs GS at home.) Sure enough, his 10-game shooting slump started with the Bucks’ longest road trip of the year, at Memphis back on Nov. 21, with 7 of those 10 games on the road.
Does that mean Jennings is going to put up top 20 numbers at home and only top 100 numbers on the road? Or did he just happen to hit a rough patch (with defenses finally learning how to slow him down) during a long road stretch? I’m taking the safe answer here and going straight down the middle. (I know. How bold of me!) Both of those factors — opposing teams’ gang-tackle defense and a long road trip — contributed to the rookie’s first slump.
So what? Is the slump over?
If you are a (once-again) proud Jennings owner, hopefully you didn’t bail on him over the last couple weeks. I expect those home and road splits to even out over the course of the year, although I wouldn’t be surprised if the home stats still look considerably better when all’s said and done. But has he broken out of his slump? Yes and no. Yes, I think he has stopped the bleeding. However, I’m not expecting him to start another hot streak right away. Sure, he could torch Steve Blake and Derek Fisher in the next two games at home, but I think we’ll see some middle-of-the-road numbers over the next month or so.
However, it’s looking more and more like Jennings’ FG% will be sub-45% on the year, as he’s had one insanely hot stretch and one insanely cold stretch, and it’s all averaged out to 41.8% so far. It also puts him at #57 in Yahoo rankings (by averages) on the year, although he’s probably ranked higher in ESPN leagues, most of which don’t count TO. I think the PTS, REB, AST, and 3’s are here to stay, so his ultimate ranking depends on that FG%. I’ve been saying for a while that I think he’ll finish in the top 50, although I amended that to “flirting with the top 50″ a couple weeks back if his FG% sunk. (Note: There are also several other factors at play here, including Michael Redd’s return and Luke Ridnour’s emergence at the PG spot, shifting Jennings to SG for long stretches, so nothing is ever certain in fantasy.)
In other words, if people have been lobbing trade offers at you (and I would expect them to pick up again), I’d still target a safe top 50 player at the least, although you could probably get much better if you waited for another Jennings hot streak. If you absolutely can’t stand his streakiness, I’d take my time getting the best offer possible, but just beware of the Bucks’ extended road trip starting January 10 (6 games, although 2 of them are against fantasy-friendly squads in PHO and GSW).
I actually recently traded Jennings for Paul Pierce in one roto league where my FG% is keeping me out of the top spot, as Pierce is enjoying his most efficient year in a while. (No, I don’t think he can sustain 49.6% FG, but he’s taking more efficient shots while providing Jennings-esque across-the-board production. But more on that in a different post.) I’m hanging onto Jennings in my other leagues though, unless an “offer I can’t refuse” comes along.
By the way… yes, I’m looking forward to that SAC/MIL matchup next week. Can you say “Rookie Smackdown”?







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