Posts Tagged DeAndre Jordan

Sunday prayers: Last second pickups for H2H leagues

Had a rough week?  Does your opponent have guys like Andre Iguodala, Danilo Gallinari, Dwyane Wade, or David Lee?  Looking for the fantasy equivalent of a desperation heave?  Here are some widely available FA’s that might give you what you need (broken down by category).

All-around: Reggie Williams and Jarrett Jack

Williams has proven that he’s not just a 3-pt shooter anymore, and with Monta Ellis out (Ellis is questionable for Sunday), he has stepped into something resembling a point forward role.  Look for this GSW @TOR matchup to provide plenty of fantasy gold.  Meanwhile, even though he’s coming off the bench now, it’s a relatively safe bet Jack will see solid minutes against Golden State on Sunday.  He could provide a mixed bag of FT, threes, assists and steals.

3PM: Bill Walker and Matt Bonner

Walker has been on fire lately, with 11 treys in his last 3 games, and he has a fairly favorable matchup @LAC on Sunday.  As for Bonner, I don’t think he will hit the most treys on Sunday, but if you could use some treys from the C spot on Sunday, Bonner has averaged a respectable 1.5 treys per game vs. the Lakers this season.

AST: Terrence Williams and Steve Blake

Don’t look now, but T-Will the point forward has totaled 23 assists in his last two games.  Since you can start him from the F position, those ast could be even more valuable.  Meanwhile, Blake has filled in admirably in the ast department for Baron Davis.  Even if B-Diddy returns Sunday, the Clippers have a nice matchup against NY so Blake is still worth a look.

REB: J.J. Hickson and Kris Humphries

With Anderson Varejao expected to miss Sunday’s game against BOS, Hickson — who had 16 boards in his last game — is the big beneficiary.  Meanwhile, Humphries had an absolute monster effort against a reeling NO team on Saturday, going off for 10 and 12 with 4 stl and 5 blk.  I wouldn’t expect the stl/blk totals, but he has a good chance to rack up the reb against WAS on Sunday.

FT%: James Harden

Harden connected on 90% of his FT attempts in March, going to the line 4 times per game.  It’s always hard to predict how many FT attempts someone will get (unless, apparently, if you’re Kevin Durant playing vs. BOS), but Harden could go to the line plenty against MIN on Sunday.  As a bonus, he also averaged 1.4 threes and 1.8 spg in March.

STL: C.J. Watson

Again, with Ellis questionable for Sunday, Watson has a chance to rack up some minutes and thus steals against the Raptors.  Other guys that might be worth a desperation heave: Corey Brewer, Toney Douglas, and Earl Watson.

BLK: Ronny Turiaf and Darko Milicic

Turiaf is finally somewhat healthy, and he delivered a huge 5-blk effort against NY in his last game.  Toronto’s front line isn’t much bigger, so Turiaf could be worth a calculated gamble.  As for Darko, he’s been up-and-down when it comes to blk lately, but if you’re in a deep league and need an Easter miracle, how sweet would it be to beat your opponent with DARKO MILICIC?  (Also, keep an eye on DeAndre Jordan vs. NY in deeper leagues.)

Good luck and Happy Easter, bitches.

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Week 17 Recap (Snatch Blatche) and Week 18 Pickups

Week 17 was all about the trades.  It saw the emergence of a perennial sleeper candidate (or two), the triumphant (at least for now) return of a former first rounder, and the early deaths of some promising fantasy seasons… all the result of big-time trades.  The Recap:

Not to rain on T-Mac's parade, but another former Magic/Rocket, Steve Francis, also had a solid Knick debut with 16, 5, and 4. Just saying... (Getty)

Cavs lose!  Cavs lose!  Cavs lose!

That’s right, the new-look Cavs are 0-3 after acquiring Antawn Jamison.  Is it the curse of Big Z?  Or is it a hex of fantasy owners of Jamison, Ilgauskas, J.J. Hickson, and Anderson Varejao?  Of course, the trade had obvious fantasy ramifications (basically, it sucked for all the guys mentioned above), but why is the losing streak so important?  Because it means the Cavs and Lakers are in a near-dead heat for the top record in the NBA… which is great news if you own guys like LeBron or Kobe, who probably can’t afford to rest late into the season as the race for home court advantage comes down to the wire.

(Meanwhile, Jamison put up a dud in his first game but bounced back on Sunday.  All those other bigs in CLE?  I’m not sure they’ll ever bounce back.)

T-Mac + D’Antoni = WTF

If you look at my rankings of the biggest trade deadline winners (and losers), I had Tracy McGrady ranked near the top of the second tier (although of course qualified that by saying he had the biggest upside of anyone on the list).  Well, he made his case for being ranked near the top of the first tier in his first game as a Knick, going off for 26, 4, and 5 with great percentages.  Hell, he even shocked himself, as he didn’t expect to play more than 20 min and was admittedly exhausted by the end of the OT game.

I’ve always said the main reason I would own McGrady would be to sell high on him after a hot streak.  Well, this might be the right time if you can get a good bounty in return.  However, Mike D’Antoni has said the Knicks are going to run the rest of the way (See: Wilson Chandler starting at PF instead of SG, where he has started all year).  And with T-Mac playing nice and saying he’s willing to come back to NY at a discount next year, D’Antoni just might keep running him out there for 30+ mpg to build chemistry.  Because of his injury risk, I’d be inclined to sell high, but don’t sell yourself short.

Fantasy ROY Race

First it was Tyreke Evans vs. Brandon Jennings.  Then it was Evans vs. Stephen Curry.  Now is it Curry vs. Darren Collison?  Okay, that’s an overstatement.  But over the last three weeks, it’s been pretty close:


FG% FT% 3PM PTS REB AST STL BLK TO
Stephen Curry .434 .933 2.2 18.4 4.6 7.6 1.8 0.0 4.1
Darren Collison .473 .829 1.1 19.7 4.7 9.8 1.7 0.2 4.9

Of course, when Chris Paul returns, this race ends, but it just goes to show how valuable both have been over the last three weeks, and how valuable Curry will be the rest of the year.

WEEK 18 PICKUPS

I’m going to steal from myself and just reiterate some of the biggest trade deadline winners, with some slight adjustments given 3 days-worth of new info.

First of all, trade deadline winners like Andray Blatche (62%) , Tyrus Thomas (63%), T-Mac (74%), and Josh Howard (76%) have already cleared the 50% ownership mark in Yahoo leagues and will thus be excluded.  (I like them in that order by the way.)  The rest:

Casspi & Butler. Ambiguously gay photo, unambiguously solid fantasy pickups. (Getty)

Omri Casspi (33%)

Casspi posted 15, 5, and 3 with 3 steals in his first game with the new-look Kings.  Nothing flashy, but he should get relatively consistent minutes in SAC the rest of the way, as he and Evans are the clear building blocks of that team’s future.

JaVale McGee (17%)

It’s tough to find 11 ppg, 7.3 rpg, and 2.7 bpg off the FA list, but that’s exactly what McGee has delivered in 3 post-trade starts… and all while playing with a sprained wrist.

Rasual Butler (31%)

He can be streaky, but right now he’s streaking the right direction with 17 treys in his last 5 games.  It might take some time, but with Al Thornton out of the way and Travis Outlaw’s indefinite return, Butler could slowly make his was off this list by clearing the 50% hurdle.

C.J. Watson (18%)

Watson has reemerged with Monta Ellis starting to burn out.  Don Nelson recently stated he would not be running guys out for 40+ mpg sometime soon, which means Watson should/might start getting consistent playing time again.  So while I wouldn’t expect the 27, 4, and 4 with great percentages and ~2 treys/stl per game that Watson posted last week, I’d still expect useful fantasy stats.

DeAndre Jordan (5%)

Jordan had a mixed bag of results in the Clips’ first 3 games without Marcus Camby, averaging 8 and 8 with 2.3 bpg.  Those numbers might not be worth taking on his atrocious FT%, but if you’ve already punted that category, he’s a nice pickup.  If not, approach with caution.  (Also keep in mind that Drew Gooden has decided not to take a buy-out and will stay with the Clips.  Obviously Gooden cares about winning and not living in sunny southern California…)

Sergio Rodriguez (9%) and Eddie House (13%)

Rodriguez was the hot pickup after whispers that he might start in New York.  And even though he had a lackluster debut, he’d still be a big catch running the Knicks’ new old up-tempo offense.  Meanwhile, House — who has played and excelled for D’Antoni before — stepped right in and had a huge first game as the Knicks’ super-6th man.  Looks like they both have a chance to make a splash in NY, but just remember that Rodriguez has a real chance to average 8+ apg if/when he steps into that starter’s role before you give up on him.

Keep an eye on… everyone from my trade deadline post, with some tweaks:

Taj Gibson (24% — I’m slightly downgrading him from my previous list because Joakim Noah has already returned; check Noah’s status and think about selling high on Gibson if Noah’s foot starts feeling better), Nate Robinson (52% — been dropped so much he might actually be available; keep an eye on his new role in BOS), Al Thornton and Hakim Warrick (45% and 14% — slight upgrades after debuts on new squads), Jonas Jerebko (9%), Shannon Brown (6% — check Kobe’s status), Mario Chalmers (33% — check Rafer Alston’s status), and last but not least, Anthony Tolliver (6%)

Which trade deadline winner would you prefer on your squad?

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Trade Fallout: So many trades, so few roster spots

Wow, that was a busy trade season.  I haven’t seen that many players swapped since baseball cards were still cool to collect.  But since, realistically, most of us only had one or two roster spots to tinker with, how do we make sense of all the trade winners and losers?  Well, here’s my preliminary ranking (by tiers) of guys who are available in 50+% of Yahoo leagues (at least, before the trading deadline):

MUST-OWNS

Andray Blatche

First game post-Jamison and Haywood said it all, even if it came against the undersized T-Wolves.

Omri Casspi

Put up top 50 numbers when Martin was out earlier this year, and is a clear building block of the franchise.

Tyrus Thomas

With ample playing time, expect some wild stl/blk stat lines in the future.

JaVale McGee (at least in deeper leagues)

Like Blatche, he had an eye-opening effort against the T-Wolves,  Before that, he’s been very promising in stretches, albeit inconsistent.  He’s in the top tier because of his upside and the fact that his FT% isn’t nearly as bad as another C I’ll mention below.

NICE-TO-OWNS

Taj Gibson

Should see a nice boost while Joakim Noah is out.  Otherwise, at least he should enjoy a nice boost in confidence with Thomas gone.

Sergio Rodriguez

This guy might belong in the top tier if he can take Chris Duhon’s starting job, as has been rumored.  He’s probably a must-own in deeper leagues based purely on speculation.

Tracy McGrady

It’s kind of sad I would rather own Sergio Rodriguez right now, but T-Mac probably has more upside than anyone on this list.  He’s the true wild card of this group.

Josh Howard

Okay, he’s probably already taken in your league.  But if not, I’d rank him right below T-Mac.

Rasual Butler

Al Thornton’s exit and Travis Outlaw’s uncertain return mean big minutes for Butler.

DeAndre Jordan

Mixed bag in first two games post-Marcus Camby.  His upside is equal to McGee’s, but in his career as a starter he’s shooting a putrid 36% on a substantial 4.4 FT attempts per game.  His inconsistency might not be worth that negative pressure.

Craig Smith

Doesn’t do much besides score and score efficiently.  Those looking to make a last minute charge up the FG% ranks in roto leagues should consider him.

Francisco Garcia

He was a stud last year after the Kings traded away John Salmons.  The only problem this year — Tyreke Evans, Donte Greene, and Omri Casspi are all emerging and playing well.  And who knows what Larry Hughes’ role will be.

Donte Greene

See: Garcia, Francisco.

KEEP AN EYE ON

Nate Robinson

I dropped Nate for JaVale McGee in what was a needs-based move in one league, but BOS might actually be a good situation for Nate.  You know they want to rest Ray Allen for the playoffs, so it’s possible Nate could get 25-30 mpg as an instant offense sixth man.  Or, he could get the same minutes Eddie House was getting.  Who knows?  So keep an eye on him.

Nick Young

WAS is playing for the future, and Young would qualify as such.  If you need 3′s, they might start falling soon…

Rudy Fernandez and Jerryd Bayless

Even with Steve Blake gone, these guys kind of cancel each other out.  If Brandon Roy continues to be hampered by his hammy, both would enjoy instant upgrades.

Jared Jeffries and Hilton Armstrong

Jeffries’ skills are a perfect match for Houston’s style of play.  However, he probably won’t get close to the minutes he was getting in NY.  We’ll have to wait and see what that averages out to.  And speaking of playing time, Armstrong will be battling Jeffries for the minutes that Carl Landry vacated in Houston.  He hasn’t done much this year, but has been useful for stretches in the past.

Hakim Warrick

He doesn’t do much besides score, but CHI chose him over more defensive big men like Kurt Thomas and Francisco Elson for a reason.  With Salmons gone, Warrick could be leaned on for some (unorthodox) post scoring.

Beno Udrih

Udrih was useful the first time Martin was missing games, but the return of Francisco Garcia complicates that backcourt enough for me to be cautiously optimistic about Udrih the rest of the way.

Al Thornton

A change of scenery might do him good, but he’s still playing behind Mike Miller and Howard.

IT’S NOT YOU, IT’S ME…

You might not want to cut some of these guys right away, but if you have to in order to snatch one of the “Must-Owns” I’d probably make the move.

Channing Frye

I’m sticking Frye on this list because he was probably hurt the most by the Suns’ inability to trade Amare Stoudemire.  He could still very possibly get hot for multiple games at a time, but Robin Lopez is entrenched as the starter now, killing Frye’s consistency.  (I’d hang onto him in deeper leagues though.)

J.J. Hickson and Anderson Varejao

Again, maybe wait at least a couple days before dropping these guys, but that CLE frontcourt is awfully crowded now. But do what you gotta do and don’t look back.

Drew Gooden

Looks like he’s staying in Clipperland, where he might actually be somewhat useful, but his upside is limited.

Ronnie Brewer and Charlie Bell

Brewer and Bell are headed to the MEM and MIL benches, and there are definitely more attractive fish in the sea.

Zydrunas Ilgauskas

If his contract is bought out, he’s worthless for 4 weeks.  If he rejoins CLE or goes to DAL, it’s not much better.

Erick Dampier

I was down on him from the start.  A broken finger sealed his fate.

Did I miss anyone?  Of course I did.  Feel free to let me know below…

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Trade Fallout: McGrady, Thomas, Robinson, Salmons, Boozer(?)

Thanks to the recession and the possibility of an NBA lockout next season, trading is fast and furious this season.  I’ll try to rank the biggest gainers by the end of today, as you’ll need to be quick to grab some of these names off FA lists.  So far, among potentially available pickups, Andray Blatche appears to be the biggest winner, with JaVale McGee, DeAndre Jordan, Craig Smith, Donte Greene, and Francisco Garcia trailing.  But more on that later.

You should be checking Rotowire, Rotoworld, and Adrian Wojnarowski’s Twitter feed (all in the right-hand column) up until the trade deadline of 3 pm EST and even a couple hours after, as some trades come in late.  Here’s some of the latest chatter I haven’t covered yet:

Tracy McGrady to NY (after all)

McGrady is worth a flyer in most leagues.  With Larry Hughes headed to SAC, Donte Greene and Francisco Garcia’s prospects look slightly dimmer, and I’d probably rather gamble on McGrady.

Meanwhile, for those of you looking for assists, keep an eye on Chris Duhon’s new backup, Sergio Rodriguez.  They could very well swap roles by the end of the season.

John Salmons to MIL

Salmons will likely start at SG and gets an immediate upgrade.  Charlie Bell loses his starting job, while Carlos Delfino might lose some touches.

Tyrus Thomas to CHA

Thomas gets a boost in CHA as his playing time will likely increase.  Boris Diaw might take a slight hit, while Gerald Wallace’s rebounding numbers might also dip some.

Nate Robinson to BOS

Initially I didn’t like this move for Nate, but check tonight’s game to see what his his role will (roughly) be.

Carlos Boozer to MIA?

Apparently, UTA and MIA are in last minute trade talks.  As a Paul Millsap owner, I’m hoping this happens.  As a D-Wade fan, I’m also hoping this happens.

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Trade Fallout: Marcus Camby (about to be) traded for Pennies on the Dollar

I was about to post a Western Conference edition of my previous Trade Winds post, but since the action is already in motion, let’s just evaluate the imminent trade that will send Marcus Camby to the Blazers for Steve Blake, Travis Outlaw, and a bucket of beers.

Biggest winner: Jerryd Bayless will be a popular add over the next few days, but it’s hard for me to get too excited about him with Brandon Roy coming back soon and Rudy Fernandez healthy again.  He could have a nice week if Roy misses more time though, and has been useful when getting ~25 mpg, which is a real possibility now.  I think the two guys who stand to benefit the most are DeAndre Jordan and Craig SmithIf you need to hit a homerun to win your league, I’d take a chance on Jordan — consider him a poor man’s Camby.  Smith, meanwhile, could be a great addition for those in roto leagues looking for help in FG%.  (And even as I’m hyping them both, I also have to point out both will negatively impact your FT%, especially Jordan.)

Keep an eye on: Baron Davis.  Now that the Clippers have officially waved the white flag (yes, I know, I actually predicted they’d make the playoffs this year, and they were in contention as late as mid-January, when they proceeded to lose 8 of 9 games), it’ll be that much harder for Davis to bring his game every night.  The Clippers already put up an awful effort against Golden State in their last game before the break — perhaps they knew a big trade was already in the works.  Who knows, maybe Davis will still bring it and continue bringing it late into the season, but if I were in a H2H league I might start exploring trade options for B-Diddy.

Andre Miller is a wild card too.  This is definitely a great vote of confidence for him, and he’s been playing well (for the most part) lately.  But with Roy coming back soon, any boost in motivation might be offset by Roy’s inevitable 20, 5, and 5 every night.  I wouldn’t be surprised if he continues putting up his current February splits of 14 ppg and 7 apg — basically the Andre Miller of old.

Biggest loser: LaMarcus Aldridge was finally starting to get his rebounding stats to respectability, averaging a shade under 10 rpg in February without Greg Oden or Joel Przybilla.  Now he has to contend with a more voracious rebounder than either of those guys.  Plus, with Roy coming back, LA won’t be called upon to score as much.  He’ll still be very useful, just not nearly as good as he has been recently.  It also looks like one of my favorite waiver guys, Rasual Butler, and Al Thornton might see a slight dip in minutes/production with Outlaw (eventually) coming aboard, while Juwan Howard is now droppable in most formats.

Which big man would you prefer on your team?

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Week 12 Recap (Raaaaaaaandy!) and Week 13 Pickups

Week 12 featured a franchise quickly forgetting its (once) franchise player, the return of another (once?) franchise player in Sacramento, and the continued (and now seemingly sustainable) dominance of a player playing with a purpose.

(By the way, “Raaaaaaaandy!” is actually spelled exactly correctly.  It’s a reference to Aziz Ansari’s character in the movie Funny People.  Check it out at LaughYourDickOff.com.  Yes, you read that right.)

Randy Foye got off to such a hot start as Agent 0's replacement, you knew Fantasy Hoopster had to trade him.  (Getty Images)

Randy Foye got off to such a hot start as Agent 0's replacement, you knew Fantasy Hoopster had to trade him. (Getty Images)

Randy Foye

Gilbert who?  Life went on in WAS without Gilbert Arenas, with Antawn Jamison picking up much of the slack.  But it was Foye who particular impressed this past week, playing the best stretch of his year, so of course I just traded him.  Was it the right move?  Who knows, but here’s my reasoning.

Reasons to sell high: He’s shooting well above his career FG% right now.  If Caron Butler or Jamison gets traded, that might translate into more points but at a less efficient rate, which equals a bad tradeoff in my mind (at least for my particular team).  Also, when Mike Miller returns that’ll likely dent into Foye’s AST totals.

Reasons to keep: Apparently he has the reins to the team.  He took shots at the end of both overtimes (missing both) against Chicago.  Maybe he just needed a new setting and style of offense to excel.  His only (current) competition at PG is technically considered a dwarf in certain countries.

Obviously, I leaned towards the former.  In my trade, I packaged Foye along with Andre Iguodala (I also threw in Yi Jianlian) for Dwyane Wade and a couple scrubs who I plan to drop for Luke Ridnour and another player to be determined.  Yes, I know I overpaid, but the trade made sense to me for several reasons, which I might point out in another post if people are interested.

Also, going back to an earlier post when Arenas was first suspended, back then I decided not to drop Nate Robinson for Foye, but then quickly decided to drop Tyrus Thomas instead.  I’m sure most of you have already figured out Foye is currently the hottest player of all three, although as exhibited on Saturday night, he’s not perfect.

Kevin Martin

Martin returned this week and quickly resumed draining threes again.  That’s not too surprising.  The more interesting subplot (or is it main plot now?) to this story involves his effect on a couple of Sacto’s rising rookies: Tyreke Evans and Omri Casspi.

Two games isn’t much of a sample, but it appears as if Evans won’t be affected too much at all — he still controlled the ball for the most part and his shot attempts were still there — while Casspi’s role in the offense was reduced.  This isn’t too surprising; even though Martin just signed a nice extension, I’d argue Evans is Sacto’s new franchise player now.  It’s still early, but I’m glad I didn’t advise anyone to sell high on Evans.  Sadly, I also didn’t have enough balls to advise trading for him from a panicked manager who might’ve sold him on the cheap.  Either way, if you own Evans I’d breathe a slight sigh of relief, although everything is fluid in fantasy of course.

As for Casspi, I think some of those shot attempts might come back, but probably not at a consistent enough level for him to be mentioned in the fantasy ROY race anymore.  Evans and Martin are going to get their shots, so that probably means a lot of inconsistency for the rest of the Kings, especially Casspi.

ROY Race

This hasn’t been much of a race lately, at least not between Brandon Jennings and Tyreke Evans.  (Hello, Stephen Curry with your 6 stl/fouls against MIL on Friday night.)  I just mentioned Evans has a great chance to retain most of his value even with KevMart back, but it’s the absence of Michael Redd that might revitalize Jennings’ season.  Jennings is clearly a rhythm shooter, and he never quite found the rhythm (or volume) for his shots with Redd back.  But now that he (and Andrew Bogut) are the primary offensive options in MIL again, Jennings has a chance to get back to his old numbers… although I wouldn’t expect him to shoot above 40%.  If you can handle the ugly shooting, you might be able to snag him with a lowball offer.

Samuel Dalembert

Dalembert has been on a tear the entire month of January, and his last couple games have been particularly sweet.  In the past, I’ve recommended him as a waiver wire pickup that people should sell high on if possible because of his historic inconsistency, but I think I’m changing my tune now, for two (non-stat-based) reasons.

Dalembert’s productivity (along with a lot of other NBA players) is often directly related to his motivation/focus.  Well non-stat-based reason #1 that I like Sammy D the rest of the way is because he really plays with more passion whenever Allen Iverson is on the court.  Back when Iverson was first signed by the 76ers, I mentioned Dalembert even had dreams that AI would return to the squad.  Man-crush or motivation?  Who knows, but it’s translated into great numbers for Sammy D.

Non-stat-based reason #2, on the other hand, is no joking matter at all.  Dalembert is a native Haitian, and in the two games since the tragedy in Haiti, a lot of people have been saying he’s played with a clear focus (14.5 ppg and 16.5 rpg with 2 bpg while shooting a combined 13-15 from the floor).  I hate to bring reality into a blog about pure fantasy, but if you’ve ever had something absolutely shitty happen to you in real life, I’m sure you can relate with “focusing on work” as a temporary escape.  I don’t think NBA players are an exception to that, and it looks like Dalembert might be playing with a heavy heart from here on out.

By the way, there are a ton of ways to help out with the earthquake in Haiti.  Here’s one organization that’s already been working there for 20 years that some friends of mine have volunteered for.  It’s called Partners in Health, and I know they make a difference if you’re worried about how your donations are spent.

standwithhaiti

And in other Week 12 (fantasy) news:

As the guys at GiveMeTheRock point out, Charlotte is on a roll, led by none other than Stephen JacksonGerald Wallace and Raymond Felton are still playing well, but the other big fantasy news out of CHA is Boris Diaw, who is finally adjusting to his new teammate.  Buy low if you can.

In LA, Pau Gasol returned from injury, and Andrew Bynum decided to put up another great line.  This is encouraging news if you own Bynum, although I wouldn’t expect it to be the norm.  I still expect Bynum to have many more night like this, but with some mediocre games sprinkled in.

In Chicago, Joakim Noah is on fire from the free throw line and the sole reason why I’ve risen a couple spots in that category so far this month in one roto league.

In Indiana, Roy Hibbert is on fire from everywhere… and that’s with Danny Granger and Troy Murphy back.  Remember when I said he’d average a double-double with 2 bpg back when he was mired in a slump?  Even I laughed at myself.  Expect some inconsistency, but I’m glad/relieved I still have him in all my leagues.

WEEK 13 PICKUPS

Since my top pick from last week is still owned in less than half of Yahoo leagues, I’ll just mention Kirk Hinrich (49%) first.  Okay, there.  Now onto to some fresh meat.

Rasual Butler (26%)

Just in case you were wondering who that guy who keeps hitting 3's for your team looks like... (Getty Images)

Just in case you were wondering who that guy who keeps hitting 3's for your team looks like... (Getty Images)

Okay, so he’s not exactly fresh because this is probably the fourth time he’s made this list.  Also, I alluded to this earlier in the week, but with Blake Griffin out for the year, both Butler and Al Thornton don’t have to look over their shoulders quite as much anymore.  I much prefer Butler (as does Mike Dunleavy Sr.), and he has a real chance to keep up his current pace of 13.8 ppg with 1.7 threes as starting SF (including 33 pts and 4 treys versus the Cavs Saturday night), albeit with some inconsistency.

DeJuan Blair (23%)

I mentioned Blair in a recent Eye-Opening Lines post.  Since then, the undersized center had 8 and 8 in a foul-plagued game against MEM.  If you need a big man, check him out.

Luke Ridnour (38%), Ersan Ilyasova (38%), and Carlos Delfino (6%)

I mentioned these guys last week, and I still like them to benefit from Michael Redd’s season-ending injury (roughly in this order).  At one point earlier in the year, Ridnour was actually ranked in the top 50 as he was an efficient source of 3′s and ast.  Meanwhile Ilyasova had already been solid in recent weeks, while Delfino exploded for 28 pts in his last game.

Robin Lopez (7%)

I’ve been waiting for Lopez to eat into Channing Frye’s minutes all year and it finally happened last week.  In PHO’s two most recent games, Lopez averaged 12.5 ppg and 4.5 bpg in 27 mpg (all season highs).  One of the games was a blowout; one was highly contested.  I’m not sure if this is a trend, but pay close to attention if you need blk.

Some guys I’ve spent plenty of ink on already:

Mike Miller (37% — no official word on return, but should be owned in most leagues), Martell Webster (47%), Matt Barnes (29% — if you’re worried about Rashard Lewis, it’s actually Barnes and not Vince Carter who is hurting him more)

Some other guys to keep an eye on:

Corey Brewer (34%), Jonas Jerebko (7% — back in the starting lineup…for now), Delonte West (21%), Steve Blake (10% — still hitting 3′s as a sub), Vladimir Radmanovic (5% — check status), Chuck Hayes (12% — last week’s averages were inflated by a monster 3OT game, but he was relevant earlier in the year), Earl Watson (10%), Jared Jeffries (1% — still a cheap source of stl/blk), James Posey (5%), Shannon Brown (2%), DeAndre Jordan (3% — check Chris Kaman’s status)

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Injury Timeout(s): Anthony Randolph, Blake Griffin, and Kobe Bryant

Anthony Randolph

Most of you have heard about Randolph’s ankle by now.  Unless you’re faaaaar (notice all those a’s?) out in the lead in a H2H league (or are in a keeper league), you can probably drop him, as he’ll likely miss at least two months.  However, those savvier H2H owners who are a lock for the fantasy playoffs should consider stashing him sometime in February, as he might be back in time to help some teams (who of course didn’t draft him and didn’t have to sit through his wild inconsistency) win some leagues this year.

In the meantime, guys like Vladimir Radmanovic (if his Achilles injury isn’t too serious), Ronny Turiaf (if his ankle injury isn’t too serious), and Andris Biedrins (if he can get back into shape after his injury which was serious) should all see a boost in production, with Biedrins a decent buy-low candidateAnthony Morrow has also been coming along lately and had a big game against the Heat in VladRad and AntRand’s combined absence.  Corey Maggette should continue to get big minutes, and even though I vowed long ago never to own him, if I had to, this would be the year.  And rookie Cartier Martin is worth a look in deeper leagues, as he posted a solid line in 34 min in his first NBA game.

Blake Griffin

And we are once again reminded why, sometimes, it doesn’t pay to stash away injured players.  Griffin has pulled a Greg Oden and will miss the entire season.  Hey, at least he’s been consistent all year; you can’t say that about all rookies.  Owners of Chris Kaman and Marcus Camby should breathe a slight sigh of relief as the only thing that stands to cut into their minutes now are their own achy backs and knees.  And in case those don’t hold up, DeAndre Jordan is the big winner here.

One of my preseason busts, Al Thornton, has a chance to put up decent numbers now that he doesn’t have to look over his shoulder (as much) anymore.  I’m not rushing to pick him up, but he’s worth a look.  Also, one of my favorite waiver wire plays of late, Rasual Butler, has a real chance to keep hitting 3′s while scoring in double figures from here on out.

Kobe Bryant

Okay, I didn’t mean to scare any Kobe owners.  His finger injury (and now, also back problems) is nowhere as serious as the other two guys’.  But it probably affected fantasy matchups a lot more, at least so far this week.  The good news about Kobe is he’ll play through anything.  That’s maybe the reason you drafted him above, say, Danny “Away in a” Granger.  The not-so-good news is you probably won’t know exactly which Kobe you’re going to get any given night — scorer or facilitator — considering his aches and pains will feel different from one game to the next.  And yet, there’s no way you can sit him when he suits up.  If I owned Kobe, I’d curse the earth, and then probably just sit and wait this one out before making any drastic moves.

But this is good news if you own Andrew Bynum or Pau Gasol (and Ron Artest to an extent), the only other consistent offensive threats on the Lakers.  As long as Kobe isn’t feeling the shooting touch, you better believe the Lakers will feed the post.  I’m not too worried about Gasol, but maybe baby brother Bynum can learn to co-exist now that the Lakers actually “need” him.

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Injury Timeout: Blake Griffin

The bad news: Griffin's out six weeks.  The good news: He won't be entering the WNBA draft, despite these photos.

The bad news: Griffin's out six weeks. The good news: He won't be entering the WNBA draft, despite these photos.

Ugh.  As most of you (aside from the kings of procrastination) have already had your drafts, you’ll just have to eat the next six weeks of zeroes Griffin will be putting up after fracturing his left knee cap.  Since I’ve got to get back to snorkeling (I know, what kind of fantasy basketball blogger goes on vacation the first week of the season??), here’s my quick take on the fantasy impact.

Al Thornton

Thornton was one of my busts heading into the season.  (Actually, so was Griffin, but that was more of a symbolic thing).  It’s not that I don’t like his game, but the Clips just have so many offensive weapons this year.  With Griffin out of the way, Thornton should have a chance to maintain or slightly build on his numbers from last year…at least for now.  Not a bad temporary rental for fantasy leagues.

DeAndre Jordan and Craig Smith

Both these guys were useful for stints last year.  However, as long as Camby and Kaman are healthy, it’s still hard to get too excited about either of them from a fantasy perspective.  But as the Clipper experts point out, Mike Dunleavy has 96 mpg to distribute in that crowded frontcourt, and these two guys should get a decent chunk of them.  Fantasy-wise, I like Jordan for his BLK potential.  In 13 games as a starter last year, he averaged 27+ mpg, 8.5 rpg and 2.5 bpg (although he also shot, gulp, 37% on 4+ FTA per game).  If he can muster 20 mpg in Griffin’s absence, he could be a cheap source of blocks on those Sunday afternoon H2H battles.

Baron Davis and Marcus Camby

What does this mean for the Clippers as a whole?  Sure, it puts a bit of a damper on the beginning of the year.  But if you’re a Clipper fan, stay optimistic — you’ve got nowhere else to go but up.  And since I’m still banking on the Clips to make the playoffs this year, that’s a long way to go up.  I still like Baron Davis and Marcus Camby to stay relatively healthy (or at least, to play through pain) as the team remains in the playoff hunt well into April (and beyond!).

In six weeks, Happy Christmas/Hanukkah/Kwanzaa.  Here’s what Clipper Nation and 10% of fantasy leagues have to look forward to:

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