Posts Tagged Carmelo Anthony

Week 14 Recap (Who Dat? It’s Darren Collison) and Week 15 Pickups

Week 14 was business as usual for the most part… until it was reported Sunday that Chris Paul will undergo arthroscopic surgery on his left knee and miss 1-2 months.  Before you even read anything else, run out and pick up Darren Collison, who had 18 assists in Paul’s absence on Saturday.  More on that below, but first the (abbrev.) recap:

Darren Collison, it's time to shake up some fantasy basketball leagues.  (Getty Images)

Darren Collison, it's time to shake up some fantasy basketball leagues. (Getty Images)

WEEK 14 RECAP

  • Mike Miller exploded for 25, 9, and 8 including 7-10 from downtown against the Knicks on Saturday.  When news of Gilbert Arenas’ legal woes first broke, I thought Miller would give Randy Foye a run for his money in terms of being the most valuable pickup.  It’s just one game (and chances are the Knicks won’t play zone against WAS when they meet again this week), but at the very least make sure Miller isn’t a FA in your league.
  • Attention, Tyreke Evans and Brandon Jennings: Stephen Curry is running away with the fantasy ROY race.
  • The Detroit backcourt is slowly getting healthy… putting a dent in the fantasy values of every member of that team, as there are only so many minutes to go around.
  • Channing Frye might be better as a sixth man, as he’s become a much more efficient player.  Lou Williams: better as a sixth man?  Not so much.  (Although Lou posted a nice line Sunday, it seems whenever Jrue Holiday or Willie Green are playing well, Lou is the odd man out.)  Both are worth holding, especially Frye, as the Suns and 76ers figure to make deals before the trade deadline.  (I dropped Lou for Paul Millsap in one league though.)  And if Amare Stoudemire gets shipped out of Phoenix, Frye could very well end up back in the starting lineup starting alongside Robin Lopez.
  • Andrew Bynum is learning to coexist with Pau Gasol.
  • And after nearly getting suspended earlier in the week, J.R. Smith had his best week of the year, averaging 17 ppg, 3.3 threes and 2.3 spg in Carmelo Anthony’s absence.  Meanwhile, Kenyon Martin continues to dominate the boards, hurting Nene Hilario’s value.  I expect that to even out (some) in the long term though, and since KMart is a perennial injury risk, I would sell high.  (Nene could be a sneaky buy low as well, as nagging injuries have slowed him down some lately.)

WEEK 15 PICKUPS

In New Orleans, everyone's saying "Who Dat?" lately.  Why, it's Darren Collison again.  Pick him up.  (Getty Images)

In New Orleans, everyone's saying "Who Dat?" lately. Why, it's Darren Collison again. Pick him up. (Getty Images)

Darren Collison (15%)

At the time I’m writing this, Collison has already jumped up from being owned in 2% of Yahoo leagues to start the week to 15% and rising.  He filled in admirably for Paul on Saturday night and could deliver some teams to fantasy victory in the coming months.

Marcus Thornton (25%)

Likewise, Thornton should benefit from Paul’s absence.  I was already going to include him on this list as he was recently inserted into the starting lineup, but now his playing time/value increases even more.  In 4 games as a starter (one without CP3), Thornton is averaging 18 ppg and 2.3 treys.

Goerge Hill (23%)

Continuing with the point/combo-guard theme, Hill is a great add with Tony Parker out in the short term.  And, like Thornton above, Hill had recently been inserted into the starting lineup anyway, where he was already being productive.  I give a slight nod to Thornton in preference, but only because the Hornets will need him to step up without CP3 the next 1-2 months, whereas Parker’s injury isn’t as serious.

Brandon Rush (39%)

One of my preseason sleepers, Rush is quietly averaging 13.6 ppg and 5 rpg to go with 2.1/0.6/1.0 threes/stl/blk per game over the last two weeks.  Like I mentioned last week, Danny Granger’s return has really sparked him.

Robin Lopez (40%)

There’s no reason Lopez should be owned in less than half of Yahoo leagues (unless all his owners are dropping him for Collison).  If Amare Stoudemire does in fact get traded, Lopez should get all the minutes he can handle, with Steve Nash spoon-feeding him buckets.  He had a mediocre week last week, but he’s still worth a calculated gamble in my book.

Jared Jeffries (5%)

If you need defensive help in deeper leagues, Jeffries has averaged 1.3 spg and bpg over the last two months.

Keep an eye on: Keyon Dooling (2% — check Devin Harris’ status), Brad Miller (41% — resurrected his season this past week), Kris Humprhies (7%), Chase Budinger (3% — second guy off the bench with Kyle Lowry out), Goran Dragic (16%)

And before I go…

Corey Brewer (54%)

He’s made my “Keep an eye on” list the last several weeks, and Brewer has finally cleared the 50% hurdle with another stellar 3-pt shooting week.  Add in the fact that MIN only has 2 games this week, and you’re probably wondering why I’m including him here though.  Well, I just needed an excuse to post this video.  (Apologies, Derek Fisher.)

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Week 10 Recap (Starring Gilbert Arenas as a Washington Bullet) and Week 11 Pickups

Three explosive fantasy guards dominated the headlines in Week 10, with only one of them doing it for the right reasons.

Are you ready for your mug shot, or, er, close up, Mr. Arenas?  (The Canadian Press)

Are you ready for your mug shot, or, er, close up, Mr. Arenas? (The Canadian Press)

Gilbert Arenas

Is that a gun in your pocket or are you just happy to…  Oh.  That is a gun in your pocket.  Agent Zero made headlines for all the wrong reasons this week as he inexplicably brought/stored three guns at work.  In his defense though, he’s kind of a bonehead (and the guns were unloaded).  There are sources reporting everything from Hibachi trying to pull off a practical joke gone awry to Arenas and teammate Javaris Crittenton going Alien vs. Predator on one another over a gambling debt.  I have a feeling it’s a little closer to the former, but regardless of the intent, this doesn’t bode well if you own Arenas.

Some people, including Adrian Wojnarowski of Yahoo sports, think Arenas could be in store for an extended suspension.  David Stern is hard to predict, but if he decides to make an example of Arenas, Caron Butler and Randy Foye (in theory) would enjoy an immediate jump in value.  We should all know Arenas’ fate by Monday.  Keep your fingers crossed if you spent a third round pick on him.

Nate Robinson

KryptoNate came back down to earth on Sunday, but I think you can forgive him after his 41-pt, 6-reb, 8-ast effort on Friday night — single-handedly carrying the Knicks over the Hawks.  In his post-game interview, Robinson seemed genuinely humbled by his month layoff at the hands of Mike D’Antoni, and more importantly, in the game he seemed hungry.  He’s still available in 47% of Yahoo leagues.  (I added him in one league over the weekend.)

And on a side note, Larry Hughes hasn’t played the last 2 games.

Read the rest of this entry »

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20-Second Timeout: Pau Gasol, Brandon Jennings, Russell Westbrook and MORE!

If you can flip Marc Gasol for this Gasol, either your name is Mitch Kupchak or you're a savvy fantasy manager.  (Getty Images)

If you can flip Marc Gasol for this Gasol, either your name is Mitch Kupchak or you're one savvy fantasy manager. (Getty Images)

There was a lot of action on Wednesday night, on and off the court.  Without further ado, some of the newsier and more actionable items:

Pau Gasol

Gasol hasn’t even suited up this year, but he was at the center of attention in fantasy news headlines Wednesday.  First, earlier in the day, Phil Jackson told the Los Angeles Daily News that Gasol might be out until Christmas.  Then, later that night, the Lakers clarified that Phil Jackson was in fact joking (Hahaha!  Oh, Phil), and Gasol is actually day-to-day.  How long will Gasol actually be out?  Probably somewhere in between “day-to-day” and “a long time.”

One thing’s for sure, his owners are probably starting to lose patience, especially with these ambiguous/conflicting reports.  If you can afford to stash him (for what could amount to several weeks), I think Gasol is a nice BUY LOW option right now.

Brandon Jennings and Andrew Bogut

As the guys over at BrewHoop mention, Wednesday’s game against the Nuggets and Chauncey Billups was supposed to be Jennings’ first true PG test (even though the young Buck already went toe-to-toe with Derrick Rose).  He responded with 32 points and 9 assists while shooting 11-19, 8-8, and 2-2 from FG, FT, and 3-pt range.  The guys at BrewHoop summed it up nicely: “In short, he was everything.  Again.”

Meanwhile, Andrew Bogut did a pretty good impression of Andrew Bogut circa 2007 with 23 and 10 with 4 blocks.  The makeup of their numbers will change when/if Michael Redd returns, but they should both be rostered in almost all fantasy formats.  (Yet somehow they’re each available in 22% of Yahoo leagues.) Read the rest of this entry »

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Draft Strategy: Don’t hate the player, hate the team

Note: Since you can find some good links to fantasy basketball draft strategy here, I’ll try to focus on a few areas often overlooked.

Don't hate Devin Harris.  Hate the Nets.

Don't hate Devin Harris. Hate the Nets. (Marc Rasbury/Icon SMI)

Team schedule.  It might sound like the most boring part of playing fantasy basketball, but sometimes it makes a world of difference, especially in H2H leagues (note: this article is mainly intended for H2H players).  There are two crucial parts of team schedule:

a) How many times a team plays per week.

b) How many “Off-Days” a team plays.

As I was gearing up to write this, I came across a pretty great analysis of the former at Basketball Free For All via another site, FourPointPlay.  I was planning to do something similar but they’ve already done a great job analyzing the NBA schedule on a play-per-week basis.  So I’ll focus on the latter.

What exactly do I mean by Off-Days?  The days where almost every team gets a day off.  Your Thanksgivings, Christmases, and New Years, to name a few.  But there are always some teams playing on those days, and since they’re often big primetime TV days, the teams are usually the superstar-led ones, like the Cavaliers, Lakers, and Celtics.  But not always.

In H2H leagues it’s especially useful to own players on these teams (it doesn’t always have to be the superstar, mind you) because it often adds to your TOTAL GAME count for that week (assuming you don’t have a weekly cap on games).  Even if you do have a cap on games, when your best players play on these Off-Days, it frees you up to use your most efficient combination of players on the days where everyone seems to be playing.  Here’s an example:

Read the rest of this entry »

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Fantasy Basketball Draft Rankings: 21-30

Fantasy basketball draft rankings: 21-30

These rankings are based on a standard 9-category format, with a slight leaning towards H2H leagues, although differing strategies for roto leagues are noted when applicable.


Player Team POS Analysis
21 Devin Harris NJ PG Harris’ overall numbers, especially scoring, will likely rise with the loss of VC, but one number I’m a little wary of is his FG%.  While it was promising to see his FG% only drop slightly with a higher number of attempts last year, he figures to get even more shots this year.  I’d guess he shoots anywhere from 41-44%.  Not bad for a guard, but not great for a high-volume shooter.
22 Caron Butler WAS SG, SF Butler’s injury history (15+ games missed the last three seasons) drops him into the late second round.  The return of a supposedly healthy Agent 0 will probably hurt his PTS and AST as well.  But with Arenas shouldering more of the load, my hunch is Butler will play 70+ games this year.  Then again, the fact that this is a pure guess prevents me from drafting him ahead of Melo, despite Butler’s better per-game averages.
23 Kevin Garnett BOS PF He’s still the Big Ticket…right?  You have to take him at 23…right?  I think he’ll actually bounce back some from his subpar last season.  But will he be sitting out games when it counts (the fantasy playoffs)?  Personally, I’d rather let someone else find out.  But if he’s still there at 23…
24 Jason Kidd DAL PG He’s definitely lost a step, but the stats don’t lie.  While his PTS are down, that’s not why you draft Kidd.  As a bonus, one of his biggest weaknesses, FG%, has been tempered with his lower FGA in Dallas.
25 Rashard Lewis ORL PF Just because he led the league in 3’s doesn’t mean he’s just a 3-point specialist.  Taking a closer look at Lewis’ other stats, they’re actually not too far off from Pierce’s.  Lewis’ FG% also suffered when Jameer Nelson got hurt last year, so I expect him to reapproach his career mark of 46%. UPDATE: For roto leagues, Lewis should be downgraded 5-10 spots due to his 10-game suspension to start the year. You’ll just have to be happy with 185 3’s instead of 220.
26 Jose Calderon TOR PG Calderon skipped playing in summer tournaments to rest up for this season.  Add in the fact that TOR added Jack and Turkoglu to take some pressure off him, and Calderon could be set to play 75+ games.  Not a bad consolation for any dip in AST he might suffer.  (As a side note, while he has an amazing FT%, it’s only based on 2.3 attempts per game.  Definitely nice, but don’t overrate it.)
27 Paul Pierce BOS SG, SF Despite Rondo’s rapid ascent, Pierce is still a solid source of assists from the SF position.  Due to team injuries, his minutes actually increased last year, but I wouldn’t expect that to become a trend.  In fact, Boston got deeper during the offseason, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see Pierce’s playing time (and production) slide a bit.
28 Josh Smith ATL PF Smith’s numbers were down across the board last year, but the most disconcerting stat was his steep drop-off in BLK, possibly due to Al Horford’s continued emergence.  (Too bad you can’t pit J-Smoove’s drop in FT% on Horford.)  You can probably wait until the end of the second round/early third round to nab him, and a mini-bounce back year would more than justify such a selection.
29 Gerald Wallace CHA SF Two big questions surround Wallace: Can he limit his DNPs?  And can he keep his FT% above 80%?  If the answer is yes to both, he’s an absolute steal this late.  Big ifs, but either way, look for the rest of Crash’s numbers to bounce back a little after a slight drop last year (not to mention the benefit of having a full year to get on the same page as Larry Brown).
30 Antawn Jamison WAS PF Jamison is another one of those consistently solid guys.  With Arenas back in the picture, his scoring might dip a bit, but the Wizards also have a chance to compete for a playoff spot, meaning Jamison should be playing deep into the fantasy playoffs.  He gets a slight nod over a similar player, David West, because of his 3-pt shooting prowess.

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Fantasy Basketball Draft Rankings: 11-20

Fantasy basketball draft rankings: 11-20

These rankings are based on a standard 9-category format, with a slight leaning towards H2H leagues, although differing strategies for roto leagues are noted when applicable.


Player Team POS Analysis
11 Dwight Howard ORL C It’s the same old story with Howard.  Is it worth sacrificing FT% to dominate in FG%, REB, and BLK?  Yes, in H2H leagues if you decide to punt FT%.  In roto leagues you would need to draft the likes of a Kevin Martin or Chancey Billups later to have a shot in FT%.  Personally I like Big Al and Amare better.  Things get a little fuzzier with Bosh and Pau – it just depends on your personal strategy.
12 Chris Bosh TOR PF, C Like Al Jefferson, Bosh will give you 20+ and 10 with nearly a steal per game.  Given his track record, he’s probably a slightly safer bet as well.  The only downside is his mediocre 1.0 bpg.  But if you’re confident you can account for that elsewhere, Bosh should be in store for a nice bump in efficiency this year, with a healthy Calderon and newly-acquired Turkoglu setting him up.
13 Pau Gasol LAK PF, C Some people are taking Pau in the first round, but I’d wait until early second.  Just take a look at Pau’s splits with (18 and 9) and without (21 and 10) Bynum last season.  Of course Pau’s real value is in his FG%, but I’m betting on Bynum to play 60+ games this year, which means Pau’s final numbers should be closer to the former.
14 Brandon Roy POR SG He’s officially a fantasy stud, but the biggest question is how Andre Miller will affect him.  A steady Steve Blake already ate into Roy’s assist numbers last year, so you’d have to think those will take another slight hit.  However, the %s and scoring might creep up with a more experienced floor general at the helm.
15 Andre Iguodala PHI SG, SF With shoot-first Louis Williams replacing pass-first Andre Miller at PG, AI will probably control the ball more and pad his AST.  Unfortunately, Miller’s departure might also negatively affect AI’s FG% and TO.  (And AI’s owners already have to deal with his subpar FT%.)  With a healthy Brand back in the lineup, AI’s scoring might not go up as much as expected, but it’s hard to argue against the AST value from a forward.
16 Chauncey Billips DEN PG Billups is a stud PG who, like Nash, has seemingly defied Father Time.  Although Nash has higher FG% and AST, I give Billups a slight edge b/c of his superior 3PM and STL.  Many think having a year in Denver under his belt will lead to a slight boost in Billups’ numbers, although I think it will be negligible considering his age.  In H2H leagues, I give a clear nod to Billups given Denver’s great schedule.
17 Steve Nash PHO PG This guy never ceases to amaze me.  After a slow start last year, Nash was back to around 10 apg the rest of the year when PHO returned to its shoot-early offense.  With Shaq out of town, expect more of the same.  The biggest question mark: Will his 3PM return to the 2+ range?  If so he will be a steal here.  If not, he’s still a solid building block.
18 Joe Johnson ATL PG, SG ATL is still Joe Johnson’s team.  The addition of Jamal Crawford will more likely negatively impact Bibby.  I was surprised Johnson’s FG% wasn’t closer to the mid-40s last season playing off a capable set-up man in Bibby.  Now that he’ll be playing off two capable set-up men nearly every second he’s on the court, I expect his FG% to get back to his early ATL years.
19 Tim Duncan SA PF, C While still a solid fantasy C, Duncan’s minutes have declined in 7 of the last 8 seasons.  His numbers have followed suit.  Dissecting the stats another way, his minutes also declined month-to-month last year, to the point where he was essentially a glorified David Lee during the fantasy playoffs.  While I wouldn’t mind owning him, I’d rather take a quality wing or guard at this point in the draft and target an up-and-coming C later.  (See: Lopez, Biedrins, Horford.)
20 Carmelo Anthony DEN SF Melo has come a long way in fantasy hoops.  Once a notorious “brand name” player who only provided scoring, Melo has steadily raised his 3PM (not to mention 3P%) the last four years.  He’s gotten his REB to a respectable level for a SF, and his AST and STL are above average for his position.  He started last year in a horrible shooting slump en route to his worst FG% since his sophomore year, but now that he’s found his groove with Chauncey, I expect him to shoot 47-49% next year.

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