Posts Tagged Adrian Wojnarowski

Guns don’t kill fantasy seasons.  Gilbert Arenas does.

Gilbert Arenas has been suspended indefinitely by David Stern.  Randy Foye looks like the likely starter for now, while others who will receive an immediate bump in value include Mike Miller, Caron Butler, and Earl Boykins.  Since Butler’s only available in one-on-one fantasy leagues, I prefer Miller first, then Foye.  In fact, run out and pick up Miller now.  I’ll explain below.

And — this is purely speculation — keep an eye on disgruntled point guards and crowded backcourts across the land, such as the Andre Miller/Steve Blake mess in Portland, Nate Robinson in NY, T.J. Ford in Indy, and Kirk Hinrich in Chi-town.  These guys’ names have been floated around all season, but since there’s nothing certain, I’ll focus on the guys in Wizards uni’s.

Gilbert Arenas

If you own Arenas, you probably have to wait just a little bit — a few days?  a week? — to see if this might be a temporary thing.  But it’s probably not going to be.  In the meantime, instead of yelling at ESPN, feel free to watch Arenas’ life implode real-time on his Twitter page.

UPDATE: Uh, scratch that “wait just a little bit” part.  According to the reliable Adrian Wojnarowski, Arenas is likely done for the year.

Caron Butler

First of all, if you own Butler you can breathe a sigh of relief… for now.  If things stay as they are (i.e., the Wizards don’t make any moves), I see no reason why Butler won’t regain his top 20 form from last year.  He’s already been regaining his shooting touch in recent weeks.  But the reason I added the “for now” part is because there are rumors the Wizards might blow up the whole team now.  If Butler gets traded to, say, Chicago as one rumor has it, his value immediately drops in that crowded SF situation.  If you own him, let him put up a few monster lines and then try to trade for a top 25ish guy if you’re worried about a potential trade.  If you’re trying to trade for him, tread with caution.

Mike Miller

Since Butler is obviously probably already taken, I’d prefer Miller first, then Foye, then Boykins.  Here’s why: Miller has the healthiest percentages of the group and has a real chance to average 4+ reb and ast while contributing 1+ threes and stl.  It might not look that sexy on paper, but he’s a safe bet to be the highest ranked player of these three.

Randy Foye and Earl Boykins

Foye has been a starter in the past (though for the lowly T-Wolves) and can score if the Wizards call on him to do so.  However, the Wizards already have plenty of guys who can score (Butler and Antawn Jamison, anyone?) so they may try to force Foye into that PG spot, much like MIN did, which didn’t work out too well now did it.  But the Wizards probably wanted Foye as some Arenas insurance in the first place (little did they know it would be for Gil’s dumb ass rather than his bum knee), so he’ll get his chance.  Bottom line: I wouldn’t be surprised if he averages something in the neighborhood of 15, 3, and 4 with 1.X threes, but I’d expect a lot of inconsistency too.

Who should you drop for Foye?  I just decided not to drop Nate Robinson, but if you’re sick of someone like T.J. Ford who isn’t perfect (lack of threes) when he starts anyway, I’d probably make the move for Foye.  (Again, just keep an eye on the situation as Ford could potentially replace Foye in real life via trade.)  Also, if someone just beat you to picking up Rafer Alston, who was just dealt to Miami and will start for the Heat, Foye is a nice consolation.  I think they’ll put up similar numbers, with Foye scoring more and Rafer hitting some more 3′s at a worse FG%.

As for Little Earl Boykins (why do I always feel compelled to add “Little” before his name), he could be a sneaky pick-up in deeper leagues, but just as (if not more) inconsistent than Foye.

Andray Blatche, Nick Young, JaVale McGee, etc.

And if the Wizards do use this as an unexpected gift/excuse to void Arenas’ contract and blow up the team, look for some of the young guys to get a spike in value.  It’s all speculative now, but be ready to jump on Blatche if Butler or Jamison get shipped out.

And although it’s unlikely, wouldn’t it be kind of awesome if Javaris Crittenton was the biggest benefactor of all?

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