Archive for category 20-Second Timeout
20-Second Timeout: Lou Williams, Sergio Rodriguez, and C.J. Watson
Posted by fantasy hoopster in 20-Second Timeout, Fantasy Basketball, Fantasy Basketball Injuries, Fantasy Basketball Pickups, Fantasy Basketball Strategy on February 22, 2010
A few quick newsy post-trade items. (Thanks to a friend of the blog, Alan, for pointing them out.)
Lou Williams
The headline from Liberty Ballers says it all: “Iverson out indefinitely; career with Sixers could be over”
Sweet Lou should be snatched up immediately and has a chance to regain top 50 status (the rest of the way) with Allen Iverson (potentially) out of the way. Jrue Holiday and Willie Green, once he returns from injury, also deserve looks in deeper leagues, while Andre Iguodala owners should be all smiles right now.
Sergio Rodriguez
Getting the start for NY tonight. The game just started, and there’s a good chance he might be gone by halftime. Depending on how far Chris Duhon has fallen, this could also be an extra bonus for Eddie House. (House, by the way, should probably provide bigger immediate returns, as he knows the offense much better already. Keep an eye on the situation, as he in fact might be the right add, even though nobody’s really talking about him yet.)
C.J. Watson
Corey Maggette will be out until at least March 8, freeing up some time for Watson, Anthony Morrow, and Anthony Tolliver as fantasy squads gear up for the stretch run. Watson has been very productive lately, and even though he plays a different position than Maggette, we all know that doesn’t really matter to Nellie. Check to see if Lou or Sergio are available first — if they’re gone, Watson is a nice consolation.
20-Second Timeout: Nate Robinson
Posted by fantasy hoopster in 20-Second Timeout, Fantasy Basketball, Fantasy Basketball Pickups, Fantasy Basketball Strategy on February 5, 2010
Nate Robinson will be making his first start at PG tonight for the Knicks. Last year as a starter, Nate averaged 21 ppg, 5.6 rpg, and 5.0 apg to go with 1.6 treys and 1.3 spg on a respectable 44% from the field. Unfortunately for him (and his chances to keep the starting job), the Knicks only went 3-8 in those 11 games, including 1-4 when Nate started at PG. (They were 2-4 when he started at SG opposite Chris Duhon.)
The Knicks were 32-50 overall on the year last year, a .390 win percentage, which was sadly better than any of the splits with Nate as a starter. (On a side note, the Knicks were 4-4 in games Nate missed altogether last year.) And you wondered why Mike D’Antoni never wanted to give him a chance.
Add in the fact that the Knicks are apparently interested in Acie Law (likely as part of a bigger deal, but nonetheless still confusing considering their logjam in the backcourt), and I would be cautiously optimistic about Nate’s new role. He’s currently available in 42% of Yahoo leagues, so keep a close eye on tonight’s box score. (I should probably also mention I own him in both of my most competitive leagues.)
By the way, Nate versus Brandon Jennings should be a fun matchup tonight, especially for Knicks fans, considering they passed on Young Money in the draft…
20-Second Timeout: Pau Gasol, Omri Casspi, and Tyrus Thomas
Posted by fantasy hoopster in 20-Second Timeout, Fantasy Basketball Injuries, Fantasy Basketball Pickups, Fantasy Basketball Strategy on December 18, 2009
Pau Gasol
According to Hoopsworld and Ball Don’t Lie, Gasol is on the verge of signing a 3-year extension starting in the $18.7-$19.7 million range. Hmmm… 18.7 and 19.7? That seems like about what Gasol has been averaging lately, as his owners (and Andrew Bynum’s owners) can tell you.
I don’t think Gasol’s production will drop off a cliff after he signs this extension, but if you own Bynum you must be thinking: “Just sign the F-ing thing already!!!!!!!” Maybe then Gasol will feel a little less need to prove himself (as if he really needs to) and he might let Bynum grab a few boards…just like Rajon Rondo started letting some of the other Celtics grab a few assists after he signed his extension (Rondo’s 4 games before signing extension: 11.8 apg. 4 games after extension: 6.3 apg). There’s nothing like job security to decrease productivity! At least in the NBA…
I still think Bynum is a great buy low target, and news of Gasol’s extension (oddly) reinforces that idea more (somehow). I just offered Joakim Noah for him in one roto league where I’m far out ahead in REB and need some help in FG%. That deal might not be ideal in every league (or perhaps, any league), but I think it’s the right long-term move for that specific squad. (More on that below.)
Omri Casspi
According to (early but yet to be confirmed) reports by the usually reliable Sam Amick of the Sacramento Bee, it looks like Casspi is getting his second straight start tonight against the T-Wolves. His first start was (at least according to Coach Westphal) was for matchup purposes, as Westphal wanted the more mobile Casspi to cover Antawn Jamison. However, in facing a not-exactly “mobile” front line of Al Jefferson and Kevin Love, if Casspi gets the starting nod tonight it could be more of a permanent move. He’s already made several of my weekly pickup lists, and while he might be inconsistent, this young Israeli is probably now roster-able in most formats.
Spencer Hawes looks like he will become a super-sub, and his splits as a sub were actually better than his splits as a starter, at least before his last dud off the bench. I just dropped Hawes for someone else in this post (hint: see below) in one tightly contested H2H league, but am being more patient with the young FC in a deeper roto league.
Tyrus Thomas
Thomas was back at non-contact drills Thursday. His projected return is still vague, but Sam Smith of the Bulls Blog projects it as next Saturday (10/26) versus Thomas’ home state Hornets. While there are still some question marks about Thomas’ role with the Bulls (especially with Taj Gibson playing well), I think he’s worth picking up if you need help in the defensive cats. I just picked him up in one league where I need steals, as he’s pretty solid there for a PF. And if those Thomas-Al Harrington trade rumors from a few weeks back turn out to be true, Thomas’ value would certainly spike.
Thomas’ impending return is also one reason why offering Noah for Bynum wasn’t as hard to stomach. Even if Thomas gets traded, Harrington will be another body to alleviate Noah of the big minutes he’s been logging (34 mpg… 10 more than last year) — and Noah reportedly needed a cortisone shot before his last game.
20-Second Timeout: Lou Williams and Chauncey Billups
Posted by fantasy hoopster in 20-Second Timeout, Fantasy Basketball Injuries, Fantasy Basketball Pickups, Fantasy Basketball Strategy on December 17, 2009
Lou Williams
According to Kate Fagan of the Philly Inquirer, Lou Williams could be back at practice as soon as today. Coupled with the news of Allen Iverson needing an MRI for his achy knee, Lou’s fantasy prospects suddenly look a lot brighter. If you can afford to hold him for what could be anything from 1-2 weeks of DNPs, I’d grab him off waivers. I just did in one of my leagues.
With Jameer Nelson and Mike Miller also on the verge of returning, all three are probably worth stashing depending on your needs/the size of your league. If you need STL, go with Lou. If you want more classic PG stats, go with Jameer. And if you’re looking for across-the-board production (and a sneaky source of AST from the SF spot), go with Miller. I value them roughly in that order as well, with Williams and Nelson neck-and-neck because of the AI factor.
Chauncey Billups
The other half of AI’s last trade is also awaiting MRI results. While Billups’ groin injury isn’t thought to be serious, you can bet the Nuggets will be cautious with their aging vet. Ty Lawson is worth a short-term pickup, and everyone else (especially J.R. Smith) should enjoy a few more shot attempts.
20-Second Timeout: Jameer Nelson and Tracy McGrady
Posted by fantasy hoopster in 20-Second Timeout, Fantasy Basketball, Fantasy Basketball Injuries, Fantasy Basketball Strategy on December 3, 2009

Wouldn't you be bored if you had to sit next to Stan Van Gundy all the time? (Getty Images)
Jameer Nelson
It’s been about 2 weeks since Nelson’s surgery on his left knee. The original timeframe for his return was 4-6 weeks, so that puts him at 2-4 weeks away. If he’s available in your league (33% of Yahoo leagues), I’d pick him up sooner rather than later. If you want to trade for him on the relatively cheap, that window is quickly closing. Jason Williams has established himself in ORL’s rotation, but I still like Nelson to approach top 50 numbers (by averages) with his efficiency.
There’s no real “newsy” news on his status, besides that the original timeframe still applies as of two days ago. But if you want to read into anything (like I love to do), here’s a quote from last week in the Orlando Sentinel:
“Some teammates have been forecasting a quicker return for Nelson then the original four-to-six week prognosis.
“When asked about how far he was from a come back, Nelson said, coyly, ‘Weeks. Four to six. That’s what I say. I don’t know.’”
Yes, I know, it’s that same 4-6 week timeframe. But he said it coyly! Coyly!!! Anyways.
Tracy McGrady

Is T-Mac the new AI? (Getty Images)
McGrady’s situation is a lot less clear than Nelson’s. In fact, the clearest report that I’ve read of his potential return is still (admittedly) pretty murky itself. From yesterday’s Houston Chronicle:
“Rockets coach Rick Adelman said again on Wednesday that there is “no timetable” for McGrady’s return. There is, he said, one criterion to meet for McGrady to make his season debut. McGrady, Adelman said, must be ready in Adelman’s estimation to help the Rockets win.
“As uncomplicated as that seems, however, the decision seems more about basketball than health considerations…”
In other words, it seems like the Rockets are treating McGrady much like a lot of teams were treating Allen Iverson the past couple weeks. Sure, he still has skills… but is he going to totally disrupt that Houston offense?? The Rockets are surprising everyone — including me, a native Houstonian — this year. (Although if you think about it, it shouldn’t be too surprising given the Rocket’s performance sans Yao Ming and T-Mac in the playoffs last year.) If the Rockets were struggling, you’d have to think they might be in a bigger hurry to bring T-Mac back.
Another factor at play here is T-Mac’s trade value. I haven’t heard any rumors in recent months, but last year a T-Mac for Chancey Billups deal was rumored before Billups was dealt for AI. T-Mac’s value as a player has declined since then, but he still has that huge expiring contract — and just in time for the FA class of 2010. Maybe the Rockets are being cautious because they want to be as certain as possible that T-Mac won’t hurt himself and hurt his trade value any more?
Fantasy-wise, it’s a headache that I personally don’t want to deal with. Even though I wouldn’t be surprised if T-Mac has some monster games this year, I also wouldn’t be surprised by some unexpected DNP’s. The main reason I’d take a flyer on him is if I thought I could flip him in a trade after a hot streak. But that’s easier said than done after T-Mac’s injury-riddled last couple years. (He’s available in 41% of Yahoo leagues.)
20-Second Timeout: Andrew Bogut, Elton Brand, and Luis Scola
Posted by fantasy hoopster in 20-Second Timeout, Fantasy Basketball, Fantasy Basketball Pickups on November 30, 2009
Andrew Bogut
According to Rotoworld and Bucks play-by-play announcer Jim Paschke, Andrew “Australian for BeeeeRightBack” Bogut is back in the Bucks’ lineup tonight, two weeks earlier than expected. He’s currently available in 30% of Yahoo leagues so make sure he’s not available in yours.
Hopefully you didn’t start Kurt Thomas or Hakim Warrick if you’re in a weekly lineup league. And who knows, with the added offensive weapon/distraction, maybe Brandon Jennings will even shoot better than 30% tonight…
Elton Brand and Luis Scola
And in other news, it looks like EB will return to the lineup Monday as well, and Scola is good to go for the Rockets’ next game Wednesday. Jason Smith and David Andersen, please re-seat yourselves on the bench.
[update] Uh, just kidding on Scola. He’s now listed as doubtful for Wednesday. Apologies, David Andersen owners.
20-Second Timeout: Anthony Morrow, Elton Brand, and Lou Williams
Posted by fantasy hoopster in 20-Second Timeout, Fantasy Basketball, Fantasy Basketball Pickups, Fantasy Basketball Strategy on November 25, 2009

Who has been the most valuable 76er in fantasy this year? Here's a hint: NOT Elton Brand. (Getty Images)
Anthony Morrow
After last night’s performance, this will probably be your last chance to snatch Morrow off the FA list. Against a solid defensive team in DAL (although granted they were without Josh Howard and Shawn Marion), Morrow poured in 27 pts, 9 reb and 5 ast on 9-16 shooting (6-8 from downtown) while chipping in 3 stl. Sure it took him 48 minutes to do, but when your team only dresses 8 players and only plays 6 of them, you’re going to end up playing 48 minutes some nights. (Or in Morrow’s case, 48 minutes 2 games in a row.) He’s somehow still available in 47% of Yahoo leagues.
By the way, every Warrior who played was worth starting tonight. Monta Ellis went off for 37, Stephen Curry had a nice all-around game, and even Vladimir Radmanovic recorded his first double-double since who knows when (adding 4 stl) as Corey Maggette and Andris Biedrins sat out with injuries. Curry should be owned in most leagues; Radmanovic should be owned in more than the 4% of Yahoo leagues he’s currently owned.
Elton Brand
When Marreese Speights went down with an injury a week and a half ago, some astute fantasy basketballers noted these next couple weeks could really define Brand’s value this season. Well, after last week’s dominant 3-game stretch, Brand fell back to earth with a resounding thud against the Wizards. EB only mustered 4 pts and 7 reb on 1-9 shooting, not to mention only recording one measly block and no steals after having 11/8 blk/stl his previous 3 games.
Initially, I thought it might have something to do with the front line WAS marched out against Brand: Brendan Haywood, Fabricio Oberto (one of those pesky defensive post players), and Antawn Jamison. (If I’m not mistaken, Brand’s only bucket came against Andray Blatche.) If this were the case… no big deal. Even first-rounders will have their off-nights against solid defenses.
However, Brand wound up leaving the game in the 3rd quarter with a sore hamstring, which is much more worrisome because his age/conditioning is the biggest red flag surrounding him this year. Last week he wanted to prove coach Eddie Jordan wrong by playing big minutes (35+ for 3 games); tonight he proved that maybe he actually can’t handle big minutes.
What’s it all mean? Brand probably goes back to having his minutes monitored somewhat (at least for the immediate future), which means we probably won’t see as many nights like last week’s. Then again, he’s also proven that he can still bring it. Unfortunately, I’d expect inconsistency (start him against J.J. Hickson and Ilgauskas; sit him against Pau Gasol and Andrew Bynum), but overall I think he can still average 16 and 9 with 1.5-2.0 blk, which is pretty much what he did last year (with one extra made FG per game). In other words, if you can get a top 50 player for him, I’d probably cut my losses and take it. If not, not all is lost as Brand can probably still provide value in the 50-75 range. (This, of course, is a moving target. This next week where we see what Brand can do with 30 mpg without Speights should be telling.)
Lou Williams
Lost in the Elton Brand Stock Panic of 2009 is the rise of Lou Williams in Philly. I doubted Sweet Lou in the preseason (because I’ve never been a fan of shoot-first PG’s), but Lou has been the most consistent 76er so far this year. He probably can’t keep shooting 50%, so I still think he’s a SELL HIGH candidate, but just don’t sell yourself short, as I think he can maintain his sneaky-good 1.7 spg (which is pretty on-target with his career steals per minute averages).
By the way, since Williams’ sleeper days are long gone, there’s a new sleeper in Philadelphia and his name is Jrue Holiday. 11 pts, 6 reb, 3 treys, and 2 stl last night…in 10 minutes as the 76ers almost came back against the Wizards. Keep an eye on him in deeper leagues as he makes his case for more playing time.
20-Second Timeout: Rudy Fernandez, Allen Iverson, and Anthony Morrow (updated 11/20/09)
Posted by fantasy hoopster in 20-Second Timeout, Fantasy Basketball, Fantasy Basketball Pickups, Fantasy Basketball Strategy on November 18, 2009

UP. (all Getty Images)

ME.

PICK.
Now this is what I call a real 20-second timeout! Very quickly, three guys who should be picked up, or at the very least you should have your eye on:
Rudy Fernandez
With new that Travis Outlaw will be out 3-5 months, Fernandez looks to be the clear winner. He already posted 4 threes/steals in his last game. (He’s currently available in 56% of Yahoo leagues.) Also keep an eye on Martell Webster. By the way, I would’ve posted this sooner if the Stephen Jackson trade hadn’t distracted me. That S-Jax, always with the distractions!
Allen Iverson
The latest rumors out of New York have Allen Iverson heading to the Knicks. If someone in your league recently cut him, he’s worth stashing right now. (He’s currently available in 61% of Yahoo leagues.) Iverson has stated he’ll only return to the NBA as a starter, so if the Knicks sign him, I couldn’t imagine him getting less than 30 min a night.
If you think about it, it’s actually a perfect marriage. On one hand, Iverson just wants to prove to the world he can still carry a team. On the other hand, it’s not even December and the Knicks have already decided to tank the season. With AI starting, not only can they tank, they can also sell tickets! Nothing is guaranteed, but this could be a fantasy goldmine if it plays out. And if it does, Chris Duhon, Larry Hughes, Nate Robinson, and the budding Toney Douglas would all take a hit.
[11/20/09 update] Never mind! Looks like the Knicks are passing on Iverson. As I was writing the original post, I was already pitying Mike D’Antoni for having to take on AI. Turns out he was probably the one to kill the deal. Iverson could still land on another team, but the Knicks would’ve been ideal from a fantasy perspective, and since that’s not happening I would probably cut Iverson unless you can afford the roster spot and want to gamble.
Anthony Morrow
I’ve already mentioned him a few times, but just a friendly reminder: Make sure he’s not available in your league. (He’s currently available in 61% of Yahoo leagues.) In the Warriors’ first game without Stephen Jackson and Kelenna Azubuike, Morrow quickly drained 4 threes while going head-to-head with that LeBron James guy. Monta Ellis is also rumored to be on the way out, so you might want to keep an eye on Stephen Curry as well.
20-Second Timeout: Brandon Jennings + Andrew Bogut = BROGUT!
Posted by fantasy hoopster in 20-Second Timeout, Fantasy Basketball, Fantasy Basketball Strategy on November 15, 2009
Wow. In case you missed the biggest stat line from Saturday night, the first half of Brogut (thanks for the ingenious name, Brew Hoop) Brandon Jennings dropped 55 points on 21-34 shooting against the Warriors. (Yes, I know GSW is in shambles right now but the stats still count!) Oh, and he also added 7 threes, 5 rebounds, and 5 assists.
It’s been about two weeks since I wrote about Michael Redd’s injury and mentioned that Jennings might be at a sell high point in, you got it, two weeks. Here’s the thing though — how do you trade away a guy after he drops 55 points in his seventh NBA game???
Well, it depends on what you can get in return. I would be intrigued by a Jennings for Jose Calderon or Jason Kidd deal, for instance. Less intrigued by a Jennings for Derrick Rose deal. One of my readers just dealt Jennings for Russell Westbrook (talk about moving quickly!), but in my opinion that actually seems like more of a needs-based deal than a sell high deal (Westrbook’s REB/AST/STL for Jennings’ 3PM/TO/maybe FG). If you’re going to deal Jennings in the immediate future, I would definitely aim higher, if only for the fact he’s currently getting mentioned alongside Wilt Chamberlain and Elgin Baylor on ESPN right now.
So, what value should you be targeting (if you’re even looking to move him at all)? Well, after his third (or fourth?) coming out party last night, Jennings is ranked #17 in Yahoo leagues by averages. He’s quickly turning into this year’s D-Rose, except he actually hits 3’s. Once Michael Redd returns, his scoring will likely drop, but his assists should creep back up. If he can manage 18, 4, and 6 with decent percentages and 1+ 3pm/stl, that looks like a top 50 finish to me. (He was at 20+, 4, and 5 before last night.) That being said, you should probably still move him for more consistent veterans like Jameer Nelson and Mo Williams, although I wouldn’t blame you if you want to enjoy the ride.
Meanwhile, Andrew Bogut, added 19 and 11 on 9-12 shooting (although his FT shooting returned to its old ways after a couple perfect games from the stripe). Again, after a slow start, it looks like Bogut is primed for a nice bounce back year… although he’s mainly getting mentioned here because he’s the other half of Brogut!
20-Second Timeout: Pau Gasol, Brandon Jennings, Russell Westbrook and MORE!
Posted by fantasy hoopster in 20-Second Timeout, Fantasy Basketball, Fantasy Basketball Injuries, Fantasy Basketball Strategy on November 12, 2009

If you can flip Marc Gasol for this Gasol, either your name is Mitch Kupchak or you're one savvy fantasy manager. (Getty Images)
There was a lot of action on Wednesday night, on and off the court. Without further ado, some of the newsier and more actionable items:
Pau Gasol
Gasol hasn’t even suited up this year, but he was at the center of attention in fantasy news headlines Wednesday. First, earlier in the day, Phil Jackson told the Los Angeles Daily News that Gasol might be out until Christmas. Then, later that night, the Lakers clarified that Phil Jackson was in fact joking (Hahaha! Oh, Phil), and Gasol is actually day-to-day. How long will Gasol actually be out? Probably somewhere in between “day-to-day” and “a long time.”
One thing’s for sure, his owners are probably starting to lose patience, especially with these ambiguous/conflicting reports. If you can afford to stash him (for what could amount to several weeks), I think Gasol is a nice BUY LOW option right now.
Brandon Jennings and Andrew Bogut
As the guys over at BrewHoop mention, Wednesday’s game against the Nuggets and Chauncey Billups was supposed to be Jennings’ first true PG test (even though the young Buck already went toe-to-toe with Derrick Rose). He responded with 32 points and 9 assists while shooting 11-19, 8-8, and 2-2 from FG, FT, and 3-pt range. The guys at BrewHoop summed it up nicely: “In short, he was everything. Again.”
Meanwhile, Andrew Bogut did a pretty good impression of Andrew Bogut circa 2007 with 23 and 10 with 4 blocks. The makeup of their numbers will change when/if Michael Redd returns, but they should both be rostered in almost all fantasy formats. (Yet somehow they’re each available in 22% of Yahoo leagues.) Read the rest of this entry »







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